0xa38a…821d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa38a455bbdd4b68486548b7e19da99903f4f821d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.7pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

41% @ 44.0¢

Brier

0.218

Resolved

8101

Avg size

$259

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	50% (809/1603)	+11%	1603
Other	50% (444/893)	+0%	893
Politics	50% (1/2)	-53%	2

Sports1603 bets
Hit rate
50% (809/1603)
ROI
+11%
Other893 bets
Hit rate
50% (444/893)
ROI
+0%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-53%

Track record

50% hit · 1254/2498

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	$111	55.0¢	Won
Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Texans	$455	41.6¢	Lost
Kansas vs. Kansas State: O/U 57.5	Over	$123	65.8¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5	Over	$396	49.2¢	Lost
Spread: Georgia Southern (-16.5)	Old Dominion	$16	71.0¢	Won
Spread: Alabama (-2.5)	Tennessee	$188	50.3¢	Won
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)	Browns	$24	36.5¢	Won
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)	Ravens	$21	73.1¢	Lost
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)	Broncos	$213	56.3¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5	Over	$176	61.7¢	Won
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5	Under	$4	17.1¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5	Over	$31	54.8¢	Won
Spread: Tulane (-1.5)	Memphis	$57	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Cowboys	$6	44.4¢	Lost
Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	$166	52.9¢	Won
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	76ers	$5	53.5¢	Lost
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Celtics	$111	52.9¢	Won
Spread: Washington (-7.5)	Purdue	$87	65.7¢	Lost
Spread: Washington (-7.5)	Washington	$138	40.1¢	Won
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	$4	19.0¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	$72.7k	35.9¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	$212.5k	58.9¢	Won
Ravens vs. Browns	Browns	$13.8k	27.8¢	Won
Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	$9.6k	66.5¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5	Over	$1	43.0¢	Won
Spread: Buccaneers (-16.5)	Buccaneers	$43	42.0¢	Lost
Spread: Western Kentucky (-7.5)	Western Kentucky	$5	55.0¢	Won
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)	Kentucky	$115	66.0¢	Won
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)	Oklahoma	$51	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: Florida (-6.5)	Florida	$207	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)	Buccaneers	$29	57.0¢	Lost
Spread: Panthers (-8.5)	Panthers	$14	41.0¢	Won
Spread: Miami (FL) (-6.5)	Florida State	$13	81.0¢	Lost
Spread: Rams (-16.5)	Rams	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Rutgers vs. Maryland: O/U 57.5	Over	$308	67.4¢	Won
Spread: East Carolina (-10.5)	UAB	$177	54.0¢	Won
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 51.5	Over	$9	47.2¢	Lost
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 51.5	Under	$71	45.0¢	Won
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)	Kentucky	$124	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)	Oklahoma	$34	67.6¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5	Over	$74	49.7¢	Won
Washington vs. Purdue	Purdue	$2.3k	49.3¢	Lost
Washington vs. Purdue	Washington	$15.0k	47.0¢	Won
Spread: Texas (-7.5)	Florida	$132	64.0¢	Won
Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 52.5	Over	$84	61.3¢	Won
Spread: UCLA (-4.5)	UCLA	$40	46.3¢	Won
Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion	Georgia Southern	$4.2k	76.6¢	Won
Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion	Old Dominion	$1.9k	31.5¢	Lost
Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 51.5	Over	$4	38.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	$298	55.9¢	Lost

Spread: Texans (-3.5)Won
Jaguars$111 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Texans (-3.5)Lost
Texans$455 @ 41.6¢
Kansas vs. Kansas State: O/U 57.5Won
Over$123 @ 65.8¢
Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Lost
Over$396 @ 49.2¢
Spread: Georgia Southern (-16.5)Won
Old Dominion$16 @ 71.0¢
Spread: Alabama (-2.5)Won
Tennessee$188 @ 50.3¢
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Won
Browns$24 @ 36.5¢
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Lost
Ravens$21 @ 73.1¢
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Lost
Broncos$213 @ 56.3¢
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Won
Over$176 @ 61.7¢
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Lost
Under$4 @ 17.1¢
Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5Won
Over$31 @ 54.8¢
Spread: Tulane (-1.5)Lost
Memphis$57 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Packers (-3.5)Lost
Cowboys$6 @ 44.4¢
Spread: Packers (-3.5)Won
Packers$166 @ 52.9¢
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Lost
76ers$5 @ 53.5¢
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Won
Celtics$111 @ 52.9¢
Spread: Washington (-7.5)Lost
Purdue$87 @ 65.7¢
Spread: Washington (-7.5)Won
Washington$138 @ 40.1¢
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lost
Lakers$4 @ 19.0¢
Texans vs. JaguarsLost
Jaguars$72.7k @ 35.9¢
Texans vs. JaguarsWon
Texans$212.5k @ 58.9¢
Ravens vs. BrownsWon
Browns$13.8k @ 27.8¢
Ravens vs. BrownsLost
Ravens$9.6k @ 66.5¢
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Won
Over$1 @ 43.0¢
Spread: Buccaneers (-16.5)Lost
Buccaneers$43 @ 42.0¢
Spread: Western Kentucky (-7.5)Won
Western Kentucky$5 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)Won
Kentucky$115 @ 66.0¢
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)Lost
Oklahoma$51 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Florida (-6.5)Lost
Florida$207 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Lost
Buccaneers$29 @ 57.0¢
Spread: Panthers (-8.5)Won
Panthers$14 @ 41.0¢
Spread: Miami (FL) (-6.5)Lost
Florida State$13 @ 81.0¢
Spread: Rams (-16.5)Lost
Rams$2 @ 35.0¢
Rutgers vs. Maryland: O/U 57.5Won
Over$308 @ 67.4¢
Spread: East Carolina (-10.5)Won
UAB$177 @ 54.0¢
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 51.5Lost
Over$9 @ 47.2¢
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 51.5Won
Under$71 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)Won
Kentucky$124 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)Lost
Oklahoma$34 @ 67.6¢
Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5Won
Over$74 @ 49.7¢
Washington vs. PurdueLost
Purdue$2.3k @ 49.3¢
Washington vs. PurdueWon
Washington$15.0k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Texas (-7.5)Won
Florida$132 @ 64.0¢
Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 52.5Won
Over$84 @ 61.3¢
Spread: UCLA (-4.5)Won
UCLA$40 @ 46.3¢
Georgia Southern vs. Old DominionWon
Georgia Southern$4.2k @ 76.6¢
Georgia Southern vs. Old DominionLost
Old Dominion$1.9k @ 31.5¢
Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: O/U 51.5Lost
Over$4 @ 38.0¢
Spread: Bills (-3.5)Lost
Bills$298 @ 55.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Celtics vs. Pistons	Sports	Celtics	$13.3k	50.9¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	No	$2.4k	29.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.8k	71.0¢
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Sports	No	$1.5k	82.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Business	No	$1.3k	50.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Business	No	$1.1k	33.8¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$913	91.3¢
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	Sports	No	$451	63.1¢
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Sports	Yes	$342	35.0¢
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?	Sports	Yes	$232	44.0¢
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?	Sports	Yes	$70	14.0¢
UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sports	Lone'er Kavanagh	$62	48.0¢
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?	Sports	Yes	$62	24.0¢
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Sports	Yes	$39	12.0¢
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 21.5	Sports	No	$9	59.0¢

Celtics vs. PistonsSports
Celtics$13.3k @ 50.9¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
No$2.4k @ 29.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.8k @ 71.0¢
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Sports
No$1.5k @ 82.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Business
No$1.3k @ 50.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Business
No$1.1k @ 33.8¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$913 @ 91.3¢
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?Sports
No$451 @ 63.1¢
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?Sports
Yes$342 @ 35.0¢
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?Sports
Yes$232 @ 44.0¢
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?Sports
Yes$70 @ 14.0¢
UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Sports
Lone'er Kavanagh$62 @ 48.0¢
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?Sports
Yes$62 @ 24.0¢
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Sports
Yes$39 @ 12.0¢
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 21.5Sports
No$9 @ 59.0¢