← Smart money
0xa37a…a9e7
SharpEdge
+6.0pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
45% @ 38.9¢
Brier
0.200
Resolved
575
Avg size
$130
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (42/80) | +28% | 80 |
| Politics | 45% (25/56) | -0% | 56 |
| Sports | 75% (6/8) | -79% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 14% (1/7) | -85% | 7 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +210% | 3 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | +188% | 3 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +158% | 2 |
- Other80 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (42/80)
- ROI
- +28%
- Politics56 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (25/56)
- ROI
- -0%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- -79%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- -85%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +210%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +188%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +158%
Track record
49% hit · 78/159- No$330 @ 80.2¢
- Yes$399 @ 45.3¢
- Roman Andres Burruchaga$1 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$44 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$252 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$169 @ 13.7¢
- No$9 @ 84.0¢
- No$259 @ 59.0¢
- No$10 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$894 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 69.5¢
- No$48 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 26.4¢
- Seahawks$7 @ 68.0¢
- No$3 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
- No$207 @ 12.2¢
- No$8 @ 8.0¢
- Real Madrid$1 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
- Natus Vincere$1 @ 73.0¢
- No$626 @ 76.4¢
- Yes$867 @ 32.7¢
- Yes$340 @ 21.7¢
- No$7 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$651 @ 29.4¢
- No$2 @ 13.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 24.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.9¢
- No$1.9k @ 22.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 0.8¢
- No$748 @ 81.3¢
- Yes$630 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$700 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$619 @ 46.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$321 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$317 @ 64.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $1.4k | 36.6¢ |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $860 | 86.0¢ |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $730 | 63.0¢ |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? | Tech | No | $463 | 94.7¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $228 | 91.5¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat? | Politics | No | $29 | 98.3¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 11.1¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 83.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 86.0¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ |
- Yes$1.4k @ 36.6¢
- No$860 @ 86.0¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?GeopoliticsYes$730 @ 63.0¢
- No$463 @ 94.7¢
- No$228 @ 91.5¢
- No$29 @ 98.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.0¢