← Smart money
0xa2cd…2ba0
SharpEdge
+29.1pp
ROI
+19%
Win rate
97% @ 68.1¢
Brier
0.160
Resolved
435
Avg size
$1.1k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +28% | 2 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +3% | 2 |
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +28%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +3%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $32.3k | 19.9¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $125.7k | 77.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | $305.7k | 78.0¢ | Won |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | Yes | $1.3k | 7.6¢ | Lost |
- No$32.3k @ 19.9¢
- Yes$125.7k @ 77.0¢
- No$305.7k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 7.6¢
Recent trades
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