0xa278…3369

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-3.3pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

21% @ 23.8¢

Brier

0.107

Resolved

1218

Avg size

$22

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (101/304)	+12%	304
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Politics	33% (1/3)	-11%	3

Other304 bets
Hit rate
33% (101/304)
ROI
+12%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-11%

Track record

33% hit · 102/310

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B	Team Aqua ASD	$4	20.6¢	Lost
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A	Pyramid IV Esports	$1	6.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Only The Family (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D	Only The Family	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?	No	$33	23.0¢	Lost
Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$162	64.0¢	Won
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	$33	58.0¢	Won
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$9	35.5¢	Lost
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	MIBR	$19	82.0¢	Lost
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Under	$65	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)	Philadelphia Union	$20	4.1¢	Lost
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?	No	$2	3.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	$3	72.0¢	Won
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Gable Steveson	$5	1.0¢	Lost
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Sean Sharaf	$55	9.4¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$71	46.5¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$89	24.7¢	Lost
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5	Over	$49	6.7¢	Lost
Houston vs. Texas Tech	Houston	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Houston vs. Texas Tech	Texas Tech	$92	60.0¢	Won
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies	Seattle Mariners	$147	72.0¢	Won
Buenos Aires 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Tomas Farjat	Tomas Farjat	$49	23.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Pipsqueak+4	$134	78.0¢	Won
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner	Lavked	$409	53.3¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$9	45.0¢	Won
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner	Team Cobra	$61	39.4¢	Lost
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?	No	$14	35.1¢	Won
Sao Paulo Open: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Teodora Kostovic	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	PlayTime	$6	56.0¢	Lost
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	$122	25.0¢	Lost
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$74	33.7¢	Won
APO Levadiakos FC vs. Olympiacos Piraeus: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	54.0¢	Won
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$315	37.2¢	Lost
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$6	5.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Korea Open, Qualification: Carol Zhao vs Yexin Ma	Carol Zhao	$6	0.7¢	Lost
New Mexico vs. Oklahoma	New Mexico	$15	7.0¢	Lost
SMU vs. Louisville	Louisville	$138	61.8¢	Won
SMU vs. Louisville	SMU	$301	38.1¢	Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$74	60.0¢	Lost
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$14	87.0¢	Won
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$15	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 1 Chelsea FC?	Yes	$1	4.2¢	Lost
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-09-19?	No	$15	55.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	Eternal Fire Academy	$150	24.5¢	Lost
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Under	$122	28.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ENCE Prospects - Map 1 Winner	ENCE Prospects	$7	28.0¢	Lost

LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BLost
Team Aqua ASD$4 @ 20.6¢
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group ALost
Pyramid IV Esports$1 @ 6.0¢
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Only The Family (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DLost
Only The Family$2 @ 8.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$33 @ 23.0¢
Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar win on 2026-09-18?Won
Yes$162 @ 64.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Won
Over$33 @ 58.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$9 @ 35.5¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLost
MIBR$19 @ 82.0¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Won
Under$65 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Lost
Philadelphia Union$20 @ 4.1¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$2 @ 3.4¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsWon
Vitality$3 @ 72.0¢
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)Lost
Gable Steveson$5 @ 1.0¢
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Sean Sharaf$55 @ 9.4¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$71 @ 46.5¢
Colts vs. ChiefsLost
Colts$89 @ 24.7¢
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$49 @ 6.7¢
Houston vs. Texas TechLost
Houston$8 @ 8.0¢
Houston vs. Texas TechWon
Texas Tech$92 @ 60.0¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado RockiesWon
Seattle Mariners$147 @ 72.0¢
Buenos Aires 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Tomas FarjatWon
Tomas Farjat$49 @ 23.0¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
Pipsqueak+4$134 @ 78.0¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$0 @ 0.1¢
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerWon
Lavked$409 @ 53.3¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$3 @ 1.1¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerWon
GamerLegion$9 @ 45.0¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Cobra$61 @ 39.4¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$14 @ 35.1¢
Sao Paulo Open: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin QuevedoLost
Teodora Kostovic$10 @ 1.0¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
PlayTime$6 @ 56.0¢
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$3 @ 7.0¢
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$122 @ 25.0¢
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19?Won
No$74 @ 33.7¢
APO Levadiakos FC vs. Olympiacos Piraeus: O/U 2.5Won
Under$2 @ 54.0¢
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-09-18?Lost
Yes$315 @ 37.2¢
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$6 @ 5.1¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerLost
Vitality$2 @ 1.0¢
Korea Open, Qualification: Carol Zhao vs Yexin MaLost
Carol Zhao$6 @ 0.7¢
New Mexico vs. OklahomaLost
New Mexico$15 @ 7.0¢
SMU vs. LouisvilleWon
Louisville$138 @ 61.8¢
SMU vs. LouisvilleLost
SMU$301 @ 38.1¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$74 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerWon
Invictus Gaming$14 @ 87.0¢
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
No$15 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 1 Chelsea FC?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.2¢
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$15 @ 55.0¢
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsLost
Eternal Fire Academy$150 @ 24.5¢
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$122 @ 28.1¢
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ENCE Prospects - Map 1 WinnerLost
ENCE Prospects$7 @ 28.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spread: LA (-9.5)	Sports	LA	$15.5k	45.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	—	No	$836	94.8¢
Giants vs. Rams	Sports	Giants	$736	27.0¢
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?	Sports	Yes	$617	17.9¢
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$469	3.1¢
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$469	3.1¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$469	3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$469	3.1¢
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$469	3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$468	3.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$467	3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$467	3.1¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$462	3.1¢
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$459	53.4¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$452	3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$445	3.1¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$424	3.1¢
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$399	3.1¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$358	99.4¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$355	98.7¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$348	90.1¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$318	3.1¢
Bay FC vs. Orlando Pride: Bay FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Sports	Over	$299	53.9¢
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$282	3.1¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$261	3.1¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$238	11.3¢
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$230	69.2¢
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Politics	No	$227	89.2¢
Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Politics	No	$227	78.4¢
Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Politics	No	$219	99.5¢

Spread: LA (-9.5)Sports
LA$15.5k @ 45.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?—
No$836 @ 94.8¢
Giants vs. RamsSports
Giants$736 @ 27.0¢
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?Sports
Yes$617 @ 17.9¢
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$469 @ 3.1¢
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$469 @ 3.1¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$469 @ 3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$469 @ 3.1¢
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$469 @ 3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$468 @ 3.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$467 @ 3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$467 @ 3.1¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$462 @ 3.1¢
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
No$459 @ 53.4¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$452 @ 3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$445 @ 3.1¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$424 @ 3.1¢
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$399 @ 3.1¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Geopolitics
No$358 @ 99.4¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Geopolitics
No$355 @ 98.7¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Geopolitics
No$348 @ 90.1¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$318 @ 3.1¢
Bay FC vs. Orlando Pride: Bay FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Sports
Over$299 @ 53.9¢
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$282 @ 3.1¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$261 @ 3.1¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
No$238 @ 11.3¢
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$230 @ 69.2¢
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics
No$227 @ 89.2¢
Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics
No$227 @ 78.4¢
Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics
No$219 @ 99.5¢