0xa234…f7eb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa234bdc751080ba6c4d2c7462523dbc27791f7eb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

59% @ 52.4¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

1228

Avg size

$41

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (225/368)	+14%	368
Tech	88% (23/26)	+22%	26
Science	80% (20/25)	+9%	25
Sports	40% (2/5)	-4%	5
Politics	50% (1/2)	-45%	2

Other368 bets
Hit rate
61% (225/368)
ROI
+14%
Tech26 bets
Hit rate
88% (23/26)
ROI
+22%
Science25 bets
Hit rate
80% (20/25)
ROI
+9%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-4%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-45%

Track record

64% hit · 271/426

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	$30	48.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	No	$169	96.2¢	Won
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	$59	98.9¢	Won
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	$9	45.0¢	Won
Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	$108	76.1¢	Won
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	$226	80.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 29?	No	$49	97.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 29?	No	$49	98.7¢	Won
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$198	99.1¢	Won
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$39	98.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	No	$28	56.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 25?	No	$36	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 25?	No	$57	97.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 24?	No	$98	97.7¢	Won
Will KICK - Live Streaming be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$66	99.1¢	Won
Will KICK - Live Streaming be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$72	96.3¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$41	92.1¢	Won
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$190	95.0¢	Won
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$236	96.5¢	Won
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$48	98.3¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$565	89.0¢	Won
Will McDonald's be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$22	98.3¢	Won
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	$68	97.6¢	Won
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$142	99.3¢	Won
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$355	99.9¢	Won
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$5	92.2¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	$130	54.9¢	Won
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$274	94.5¢	Won
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$332	99.7¢	Won
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	$88	88.0¢	Won
Clippers vs. Lakers	Clippers	$11	22.0¢	Lost
Bulls vs. Magic	Magic	$39	77.0¢	Lost
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?	No	$520	56.2¢	Won
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	No	$36	44.0¢	Won
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	No	$249	77.5¢	Won
TikTok sale announced by March 31?	No	$9	3.9¢	Lost
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?	No	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?	Yes	$26	56.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16?	No	$83	83.0¢	Won
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	No	$1.1k	62.4¢	Won
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?	No	$57	88.9¢	Won
Will Google be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	No	$17	80.0¢	Won
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 27 be between 3,000,000 and 3,250,000?	No	$37	85.4¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$69	16.4¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)	Pacers	$259	74.0¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	$245	81.5¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$17	5.7¢	Lost
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?	No	$43	85.0¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$254	63.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20?	Yes	$15	59.0¢	Won

Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?Won
No$30 @ 48.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?Won
No$169 @ 96.2¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Won
No$59 @ 98.9¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 45.0¢
Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Won
No$108 @ 76.1¢
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Won
No$226 @ 80.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 29?Won
No$49 @ 97.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 29?Won
No$49 @ 98.7¢
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$198 @ 99.1¢
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$39 @ 98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?Lost
No$28 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 25?Won
No$36 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 25?Won
No$57 @ 97.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 24?Won
No$98 @ 97.7¢
Will KICK - Live Streaming be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$66 @ 99.1¢
Will KICK - Live Streaming be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$72 @ 96.3¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$41 @ 92.1¢
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$190 @ 95.0¢
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$236 @ 96.5¢
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$48 @ 98.3¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$565 @ 89.0¢
Will McDonald's be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$22 @ 98.3¢
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Won
No$68 @ 97.6¢
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$142 @ 99.3¢
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$355 @ 99.9¢
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$5 @ 92.2¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?Won
No$130 @ 54.9¢
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$274 @ 94.5¢
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$332 @ 99.7¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Clippers vs. LakersLost
Clippers$11 @ 22.0¢
Bulls vs. MagicLost
Magic$39 @ 77.0¢
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?Won
No$520 @ 56.2¢
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Won
No$36 @ 44.0¢
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Won
No$249 @ 77.5¢
TikTok sale announced by March 31?Lost
No$9 @ 3.9¢
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Lost
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Won
Yes$26 @ 56.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16?Won
No$83 @ 83.0¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Won
No$1.1k @ 62.4¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?Won
No$57 @ 88.9¢
Will Google be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Won
No$17 @ 80.0¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 27 be between 3,000,000 and 3,250,000?Won
No$37 @ 85.4¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$69 @ 16.4¢
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)Won
Pacers$259 @ 74.0¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
No$245 @ 81.5¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$17 @ 5.7¢
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Won
No$43 @ 85.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Won
Yes$254 @ 63.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20?Won
Yes$15 @ 59.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	No	$254	84.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	No	$213	71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	Science	No	$169	96.2¢
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	No	$76	92.0¢
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Tech	No	$30	48.1¢

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
No$254 @ 84.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
No$213 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?Science
No$169 @ 96.2¢
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
No$76 @ 92.0¢
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?Tech
No$30 @ 48.1¢