← Smart money
0xa1bb…e21a
SharpEdge
+9.4pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
81% @ 71.9¢
Brier
0.117
Resolved
134
Avg size
$313
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (28/49) | -75% | 49 |
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | +9% | 4 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +53% | 1 |
- Other49 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (28/49)
- ROI
- -75%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +53%
Track record
59% hit · 32/54- Under$1.3k @ 44.0¢
- Under$3.1k @ 51.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$33 @ 93.7¢
- Yes$5.2k @ 21.3¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 66.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 3.9¢
- Astros$3 @ 62.0¢
- Thunder$26 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 50.1¢
- Invictus Gaming$4 @ 73.3¢
- Bilibili Gaming$3 @ 69.0¢
- Blue Jays$3 @ 50.0¢
- Panthers$16 @ 48.0¢
- Rays$17 @ 52.0¢
- Padres$13 @ 39.0¢
- Alcaraz$30 @ 87.0¢
- Top Esports$1 @ 65.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$8 @ 77.0¢
- Over$36 @ 72.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$4 @ 62.0¢
- LYON$1 @ 49.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$4 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$279 @ 63.5¢
- Bilibili Gaming$1 @ 62.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$7 @ 69.0¢
- Gen.G$9 @ 86.3¢
- Simion$54 @ 77.5¢
- No$2 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$19.8k @ 86.0¢
- Reds$13 @ 38.0¢
- Orioles$10 @ 56.0¢
- Brazil$1 @ 51.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$4 @ 65.5¢
- Phillies$17 @ 52.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$15 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$328 @ 82.0¢
- No$20.6k @ 85.0¢
- Phillies$20 @ 60.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$3 @ 35.1¢
- No$390 @ 73.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$50 @ 82.1¢
- Oilers$53 @ 53.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$3 @ 25.1¢
- Pacers$3 @ 34.0¢
- Nationals$21 @ 63.0¢
- LYON$1 @ 30.0¢
- Mariners$6 @ 47.0¢
- Cubs$24 @ 51.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$4 @ 73.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$4 @ 76.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $21.2k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $21.2k | 50.0¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $5.2k | 21.3¢ |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | — | Under | $3.1k | 51.0¢ |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 | — | Under | $1.3k | 44.0¢ |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | — | Bilibili Gaming | $33 | 93.7¢ |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner | — | Bilibili Gaming | $23 | 92.6¢ |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | — | Yes | $12 | 3.9¢ |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | — | Bilibili Gaming | $3 | 25.7¢ |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | — | Invictus Gaming | $3 | 35.1¢ |
- Yes$21.2k @ 50.0¢
- No$21.2k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5.2k @ 21.3¢
- Under$3.1k @ 51.0¢
- Under$1.3k @ 44.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$33 @ 93.7¢
- Bilibili Gaming$23 @ 92.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 3.9¢
- Bilibili Gaming$3 @ 25.7¢
- Invictus Gaming$3 @ 35.1¢