0xa19f…ef67

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa19f594fc8bdc8ca51dfc51cdd4b3b177e90ef67
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.5pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

46% @ 27.9¢

Brier

0.204

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Economy	37% (16/43)	+23%	43
Culture	57% (13/23)	+47%	23
Other	20% (2/10)	-36%	10
Politics	17% (1/6)	-16%	6
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+24%	1

Economy43 bets
Hit rate
37% (16/43)
ROI
+23%
Culture23 bets
Hit rate
57% (13/23)
ROI
+47%
Other10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
-36%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-16%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+24%

Track record

40% hit · 33/83

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	Yes	$24	17.0¢	Lost
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Won
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?	No	$29	65.0¢	Lost
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	No	$26	58.0¢	Won
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?	Yes	$26	17.3¢	Lost
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	$6	6.3¢	Lost
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	$3	20.0¢	Won
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October?	Yes	$2	9.7¢	Lost
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?	No	$17	90.0¢	Lost
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Won
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	Yes	$9	8.6¢	Lost
Will "Wicker" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$78	97.6¢	Won
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?	No	$14	75.0¢	Won
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Lost
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	$21	21.0¢	Lost
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?	Yes	$14	12.1¢	Lost
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	Yes	$38	33.0¢	Won
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	$22	18.3¢	Lost
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?	Yes	$24	18.2¢	Lost
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	Yes	$22	19.2¢	Lost
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	Yes	$17	15.0¢	Lost
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	$24	23.5¢	Lost
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	$30	61.0¢	Won
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	$11	57.0¢	Won
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	$12	90.5¢	Won
Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$15	42.0¢	Won
Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$4	5.5¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	$104	80.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$19	65.0¢	Won
Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$17	77.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	Yes	$6	8.7¢	Lost
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?	Yes	$4	23.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	No	$19	65.0¢	Won
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August?	Yes	$2	10.9¢	Lost
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 28 and 32 million views this week?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will "Digger" score at least 48 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?	Yes	$3	21.0¢	Lost
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	No	$13	62.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?	No	$3	25.0¢	Won
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	Yes	$6	9.1¢	Lost

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?Lost
Yes$24 @ 17.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Won
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?Lost
No$29 @ 65.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?Won
No$26 @ 58.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Lost
Yes$26 @ 17.3¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Lost
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.3¢
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Won
Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.7¢
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?Lost
No$17 @ 90.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?Won
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?Lost
Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
Will "Wicker" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
Yes$78 @ 97.6¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?Won
No$14 @ 75.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?Lost
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Lost
Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?Lost
Yes$14 @ 12.1¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Won
Yes$38 @ 33.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Lost
Yes$22 @ 18.3¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?Lost
Yes$24 @ 18.2¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?Lost
Yes$22 @ 19.2¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Lost
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Lost
Yes$24 @ 23.5¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Won
Yes$30 @ 61.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Won
Yes$11 @ 57.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?Won
No$12 @ 90.5¢
Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
Yes$15 @ 42.0¢
Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
No$4 @ 5.5¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Won
No$104 @ 80.6¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
Yes$19 @ 65.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
No$17 @ 77.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.7¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?Lost
Yes$4 @ 23.0¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Won
No$19 @ 65.0¢
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.9¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 28 and 32 million views this week?Lost
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will "Digger" score at least 48 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?Lost
Yes$3 @ 21.0¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Won
No$13 @ 62.0¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Won
No$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?Lost
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	Yes	$141	83.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November?	Economy	No	$35	47.0¢
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 160k?	Culture	No	$34	67.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Economy	Yes	$31	21.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?	Economy	No	$29	65.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?	Economy	Yes	$29	28.2¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?	Economy	Yes	$26	17.3¢
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?	Politics	Yes	$26	42.5¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	Economy	Yes	$24	17.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?	Politics	Yes	$24	18.2¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Politics	Yes	$22	18.3¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	Politics	Yes	$22	19.2¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Economy	Yes	$21	21.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	Politics	Yes	$17	15.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?	Politics	Yes	$14	12.1¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	Economy	Yes	$13	14.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	Economy	Yes	$9	8.6¢
Will "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Culture	No	$9	17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 19?	—	Yes	$7	7.8¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	Culture	No	$7	49.4¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Economy	Yes	$7	29.2¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Economy	Yes	$6	6.3¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	Economy	Yes	$5	9.1¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	Economy	Yes	$5	8.7¢
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	Economy	Yes	$4	10.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?	Culture	Yes	$4	23.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 28 and 32 million views this week?	Culture	Yes	$4	20.0¢
Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Culture	No	$4	5.5¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 24 and 28 million views this week?	Culture	Yes	$4	18.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week?	Culture	Yes	$4	18.0¢

Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
Yes$141 @ 83.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November?Economy
No$35 @ 47.0¢
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 160k?Culture
No$34 @ 67.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Economy
Yes$31 @ 21.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?Economy
No$29 @ 65.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?Economy
Yes$29 @ 28.2¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Economy
Yes$26 @ 17.3¢
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Politics
Yes$26 @ 42.5¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?Economy
Yes$24 @ 17.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?Politics
Yes$24 @ 18.2¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Politics
Yes$22 @ 18.3¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?Politics
Yes$22 @ 19.2¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Economy
Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Politics
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?Politics
Yes$14 @ 12.1¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?Economy
Yes$13 @ 14.0¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?Economy
Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
Will "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture
No$9 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 19?—
Yes$7 @ 7.8¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?Culture
No$7 @ 49.4¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy
Yes$7 @ 29.2¢
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Economy
Yes$6 @ 6.3¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?Economy
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Economy
Yes$5 @ 8.7¢
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?Economy
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?Culture
Yes$4 @ 23.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 28 and 32 million views this week?Culture
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture
No$4 @ 5.5¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 24 and 28 million views this week?Culture
Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week?Culture
Yes$4 @ 18.0¢