0xa19c…de6b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa19cbababc312f9df185e49d7004c249ed1ade6b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.1pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

53% @ 47.4¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

4328

Avg size

$249

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Crypto	50% (344/684)	+59%	684
Other	47% (210/446)	+6%	446
Economy	100% (2/2)	+327%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Crypto684 bets
Hit rate
50% (344/684)
ROI
+59%
Other446 bets
Hit rate
47% (210/446)
ROI
+6%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+327%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

49% hit · 556/1133

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	Yes	$246	7.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?	Yes	$1.2k	73.8¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 20?	No	$20	85.1¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?	No	$47	4.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?	Yes	$357	81.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	$4.4k	70.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	$1.3k	32.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?	No	$389	89.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?	No	$136	30.9¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?	Yes	$122	58.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 26-November 1?	No	$6	39.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?	No	$2.9k	82.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?	Yes	$354	27.2¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 15?	No	$1	9.0¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 29?	No	$70	70.0¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 29?	Yes	$165	25.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	$93	25.3¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?	Yes	$35	66.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	No	$38	48.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	Yes	$17	61.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	Yes	$58	26.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?	No	$108	85.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	No	$1.6k	87.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	No	$2.4k	68.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	Yes	$829	20.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 17?	No	$546	86.2¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 19?	No	$52	58.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	$53	1.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	$1.4k	64.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 12-18?	Yes	$37	83.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 12?	Yes	$49	43.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	$313	89.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	Yes	$424	9.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	No	$3.0k	58.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	$894	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	Yes	$755	30.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?	No	$649	14.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?	Yes	$74	71.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	$2.1k	71.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	Yes	$1.8k	36.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	No	$343	67.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	Yes	$2	45.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	Yes	$42	79.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	$1.0k	3.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	No	$889	48.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	$3.0k	47.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	$71	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 15?	Yes	$92	1.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	No	$166	83.0¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Lost
Yes$246 @ 7.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 73.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 20?Won
No$20 @ 85.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?Lost
No$47 @ 4.7¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?Won
Yes$357 @ 81.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?Lost
No$4.4k @ 70.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 32.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?Won
No$389 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?Won
No$136 @ 30.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?Lost
Yes$122 @ 58.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 26-November 1?Lost
No$6 @ 39.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?Lost
No$2.9k @ 82.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?Won
Yes$354 @ 27.2¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 15?Lost
No$1 @ 9.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 29?Lost
No$70 @ 70.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 29?Won
Yes$165 @ 25.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?Won
No$93 @ 25.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?Won
Yes$35 @ 66.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?Lost
No$38 @ 48.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?Won
Yes$17 @ 61.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?Lost
Yes$58 @ 26.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?Won
No$108 @ 85.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?Won
No$1.6k @ 87.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?Won
No$2.4k @ 68.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?Lost
Yes$829 @ 20.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 17?Lost
No$546 @ 86.2¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 19?Lost
No$52 @ 58.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?Lost
Yes$53 @ 1.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 64.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 12-18?Won
Yes$37 @ 83.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 12?Lost
Yes$49 @ 43.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?Won
No$313 @ 89.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?Lost
Yes$424 @ 9.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?Won
No$3.0k @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?Lost
Yes$894 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?Lost
Yes$755 @ 30.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?Lost
No$649 @ 14.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?Won
Yes$74 @ 71.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?Won
No$2.1k @ 71.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 36.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?Lost
No$343 @ 67.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?Won
Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?Won
Yes$42 @ 79.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 3.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Lost
No$889 @ 48.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 47.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?Won
Yes$71 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 15?Lost
Yes$92 @ 1.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?Won
No$166 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$56.3k	26.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$45.0k	86.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$43.6k	63.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$26.8k	16.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$20.1k	75.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$18.5k	31.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$16.7k	92.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$15.4k	27.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$11.4k	45.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	Crypto	Yes	$9.6k	82.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$7.0k	88.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$7.0k	89.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$6.8k	93.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$6.1k	89.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	Crypto	Yes	$5.9k	69.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$5.4k	97.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$4.6k	85.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	Crypto	Yes	$3.4k	83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.3k	35.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.0k	10.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2.6k	25.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$2.3k	91.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.1k	83.2¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$2.0k	25.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?	Crypto	No	$2.0k	74.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in November?	—	No	$1.4k	28.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	83.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	No	$1.1k	96.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.1k	64.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?	Crypto	Up	$1.0k	75.3¢

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$56.3k @ 26.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$45.0k @ 86.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$43.6k @ 63.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$26.8k @ 16.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$20.1k @ 75.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$18.5k @ 31.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$16.7k @ 92.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$15.4k @ 27.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$11.4k @ 45.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?Crypto
Yes$9.6k @ 82.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$7.0k @ 88.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$7.0k @ 89.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$6.8k @ 93.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$6.1k @ 89.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?Crypto
Yes$5.9k @ 69.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$5.4k @ 97.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$4.6k @ 85.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?Crypto
Yes$3.4k @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.3k @ 35.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.0k @ 10.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2.6k @ 25.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$2.3k @ 91.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.1k @ 83.2¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$2.0k @ 25.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?Crypto
No$2.0k @ 74.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in November?—
No$1.4k @ 28.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?Crypto
No$1.1k @ 96.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.1k @ 64.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?Crypto
Up$1.0k @ 75.3¢