← Smart money
0xa196…14b0
ProfitableEdge
+21.0pp
ROI
+82%
Win rate
57% @ 35.7¢
Brier
0.294
Resolved
30
Avg size
$83
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 52% (14/27) | +82% | 27 |
| Politics | 33% (1/3) | +84% | 3 |
- Other27 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (14/27)
- ROI
- +82%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +84%
Track record
50% hit · 15/30- Yes$25 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 31.5¢
- No$250 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
- No$20 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 81.8¢
- No$5 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
- Thunder$5 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
- No$100 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$139 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$800 @ 86.9¢
- Nuggets$3 @ 26.0¢
- No$50 @ 64.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 19.0¢
- No$10 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 44.0¢
- No$50 @ 67.0¢
- No$1 @ 77.0¢
- No$100 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$227 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
- No$50 @ 77.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Politics | No | $250 | 46.0¢ |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $50 | 79.8¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $50 | 77.4¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $25 | 45.0¢ |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $25 | 17.8¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 31.5¢ |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 8.0¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 23.0¢ |
- No$250 @ 46.0¢
- No$50 @ 79.8¢
- No$50 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 17.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 31.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢