← Smart money
0xa173…3315
SharpEdge
+5.7pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
40% @ 34.5¢
Brier
0.147
Resolved
3222
Avg size
$116
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (121/235) | +23% | 235 |
| Politics | 53% (23/43) | +14% | 43 |
| Sports | 29% (7/24) | +48% | 24 |
| Crypto | 25% (3/12) | -52% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (5/10) | -34% | 10 |
| Tech | 75% (3/4) | +10% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +41% | 1 |
- Other235 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (121/235)
- ROI
- +23%
- Politics43 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (23/43)
- ROI
- +14%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (7/24)
- ROI
- +48%
- Crypto12 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (3/12)
- ROI
- -52%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (5/10)
- ROI
- -34%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +10%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +41%
Track record
50% hit · 163/329- Mariners$5 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 53.0¢
- No$705 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$326 @ 56.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$155 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$235 @ 78.3¢
- Blue Jays$5 @ 56.0¢
- No$12.6k @ 79.8¢
- Yes$8.2k @ 16.2¢
- No$4.6k @ 76.3¢
- Yes$524 @ 65.0¢
- No$147 @ 12.4¢
- No$4.4k @ 33.9¢
- Yes$175 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 79.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 5.1¢
- No$3.6k @ 15.2¢
- Yes$640 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 5.2¢
- Orioles$5 @ 54.0¢
- 49ers$5 @ 34.0¢
- No$6.5k @ 45.4¢
- Yes$700 @ 63.4¢
- No$3.2k @ 43.3¢
- Yes$973 @ 13.7¢
- No$80 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 14.5¢
- No$4.4k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$103 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$303 @ 84.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 69.7¢
- No$895 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$740 @ 12.3¢
- No$725 @ 32.6¢
- No$55 @ 5.2¢
- Packers$50 @ 51.0¢
- No$385 @ 77.0¢
- No$777 @ 81.8¢
- Stars $100 @ 64.0¢
- No$788 @ 26.3¢
- No$50 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 77.9¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 70.6¢
- Yes$235 @ 47.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$5.7k @ 84.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 86.4¢
- No$2.9k @ 58.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 42.3¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 42.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 77.9¢
- No$831 @ 76.2¢
- No$773 @ 77.3¢
- Yes$716 @ 54.0¢
- No$581 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$510 @ 51.0¢
- No$504 @ 72.0¢
- No$379 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$294 @ 21.0¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$256 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$207 @ 4.6¢
- No$192 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$114 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$34 @ 63.1¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.6¢
- No$3 @ 63.9¢
- No$1 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 51.0¢