0xa139…6f00

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.8pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

93% @ 77.5¢

Brier

0.093

Resolved

342

Avg size

$207

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	87% (13/15)	+21%	15
Other	100% (9/9)	+21%	9
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+19%	4
Sports	50% (1/2)	-40%	2

Politics15 bets
Hit rate
87% (13/15)
ROI
+21%
Other9 bets
Hit rate
100% (9/9)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+19%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-40%

Track record

90% hit · 27/30

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$429	71.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$476	79.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$14.3k	80.6¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$1.8k	85.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$633	79.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$1.1k	88.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$2.9k	85.8¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.8k	86.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$1.3k	81.9¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$6.6k	57.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$225	75.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.1k	79.1¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$5.4k	77.7¢	Won
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$64	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$5.6k	85.9¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?	No	$240	86.7¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$3.6k	78.3¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$947	86.1¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?	No	$982	80.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$602	85.4¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	$512	85.3¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$2.2k	72.6¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$380	76.0¢	Won
Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	$456	38.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$3.8k	69.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$7.1k	78.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$2.4k	84.6¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	$1.9k	87.5¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	$957	87.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$959	87.2¢	Won

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
No$429 @ 71.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$476 @ 79.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$14.3k @ 80.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$1.8k @ 85.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$633 @ 79.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 88.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
No$2.9k @ 85.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1.8k @ 86.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 81.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$6.6k @ 57.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$225 @ 75.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1.1k @ 79.1¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$5.4k @ 77.7¢
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Won
No$64 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$5.6k @ 85.9¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Won
No$240 @ 86.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$3.6k @ 78.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Won
No$947 @ 86.1¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Won
No$982 @ 80.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$602 @ 85.4¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Won
No$512 @ 85.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$2.2k @ 72.6¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$380 @ 76.0¢
Germany leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$456 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$3.8k @ 69.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$7.1k @ 78.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$2.4k @ 84.6¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Won
No$1.9k @ 87.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Won
No$957 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$959 @ 87.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$11.8k	13.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	—	No	$10.8k	96.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	—	No	$3.7k	91.9¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	—	No	$2.3k	93.7¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$550	27.5¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$547	13.8¢

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$11.8k @ 13.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
No$10.8k @ 96.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?—
No$3.7k @ 91.9¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?—
No$2.3k @ 93.7¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
Yes$550 @ 27.5¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics
Yes$547 @ 13.8¢