0xa139…6f00

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.1pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

85% @ 70.5¢

Brier

0.081

Resolved

408

Avg size

$188

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	90% (28/31)	+15%	31
Other	88% (7/8)	+17%	8
Geopolitics	100% (5/5)	+19%	5
Sports	50% (1/2)	-40%	2

Politics31 bets
Hit rate
90% (28/31)
ROI
+15%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+19%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-40%

Track record

89% hit · 41/46

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	$880	88.0¢	Lost
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	No	$9	94.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	$238	91.3¢	Won
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	$541	96.9¢	Won
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	$1.2k	88.6¢	Won
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	No	$221	93.3¢	Won
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	$6	58.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	$610	87.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$429	71.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$476	79.3¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$1.1k	5.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$13.6k	80.3¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$1.8k	85.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$633	79.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$1.1k	88.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$2.9k	85.8¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.4k	86.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$1.3k	81.9¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$6.6k	57.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$225	75.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.1k	79.1¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$5.3k	78.4¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$5.4k	77.7¢	Won
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$64	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$5.6k	85.9¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?	No	$240	86.7¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$3.6k	78.3¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$517	86.2¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?	No	$982	80.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$602	85.4¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	$512	85.3¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$2.2k	72.6¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$380	76.0¢	Won
Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	$456	38.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$3.8k	69.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$7.1k	78.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$2.4k	84.6¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	$1.9k	87.5¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	$957	87.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$959	87.2¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	$40	88.0¢	Won
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	$190	95.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?	No	$36	93.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	$2.3k	93.7¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	$10.8k	96.7¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	$3.7k	91.9¢	Won

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 94.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Won
No$238 @ 91.3¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Won
No$541 @ 96.9¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Won
No$1.2k @ 88.6¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Won
No$221 @ 93.3¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Won
No$6 @ 58.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Won
No$610 @ 87.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
No$429 @ 71.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$476 @ 79.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 5.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$13.6k @ 80.3¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$1.8k @ 85.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$633 @ 79.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 88.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
No$2.9k @ 85.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1.4k @ 86.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 81.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$6.6k @ 57.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$225 @ 75.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1.1k @ 79.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$5.3k @ 78.4¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$5.4k @ 77.7¢
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Won
No$64 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$5.6k @ 85.9¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Won
No$240 @ 86.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$3.6k @ 78.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Won
No$517 @ 86.2¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Won
No$982 @ 80.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$602 @ 85.4¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Won
No$512 @ 85.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$2.2k @ 72.6¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$380 @ 76.0¢
Germany leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$456 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$3.8k @ 69.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$7.1k @ 78.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$2.4k @ 84.6¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Won
No$1.9k @ 87.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Won
No$957 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$959 @ 87.2¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Won
No$40 @ 88.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Won
No$190 @ 95.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?Won
No$36 @ 93.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Won
No$2.3k @ 93.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Won
No$10.8k @ 96.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Won
No$3.7k @ 91.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$13.4k	13.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$3.3k	90.5¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Politics	No	$2.6k	81.2¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2.0k	6.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.7k	72.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$880	88.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$550	27.5¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$547	13.8¢
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	No	$477	94.1¢
Germany leading at halftime?	Sports	Yes	$456	38.0¢
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Politics	No	$455	91.0¢
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$304	76.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$105	21.0¢
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	No	$95	95.3¢
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	No	$14	93.1¢

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$13.4k @ 13.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Geopolitics
No$3.3k @ 90.5¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Politics
No$2.6k @ 81.2¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$2.0k @ 6.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics
No$1.7k @ 72.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
Yes$550 @ 27.5¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics
Yes$547 @ 13.8¢
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
No$477 @ 94.1¢
Germany leading at halftime?Sports
Yes$456 @ 38.0¢
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics
No$455 @ 91.0¢
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$304 @ 76.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
No$95 @ 95.3¢
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
No$14 @ 93.1¢