← Smart money
0xa0bc…de46
SharpEdge
-12.6pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
37% @ 49.4¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
117
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (20/40) | -7% | 40 |
| Sports | 29% (2/7) | +154% | 7 |
| Tech | 20% (1/5) | -26% | 5 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | -5% | 4 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other40 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (20/40)
- ROI
- -7%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (2/7)
- ROI
- +154%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -26%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -5%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
44% hit · 25/57- Vitality$7 @ 76.0¢
- No$5 @ 87.0¢
- Dignitas$5 @ 12.0¢
- No$11 @ 76.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
- Vitality$5 @ 67.0¢
- Knicks$2 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
- Hurricanes$2 @ 58.0¢
- No$2 @ 42.0¢
- Acosta$3 @ 77.0¢
- Jets vs. CanucksLostCanucks$36 @ 45.6¢
- Over$2 @ 54.0¢
- KT Rolster$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
- No$5 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 61.4¢
- Under$2 @ 43.0¢
- Vitality$5 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 47.0¢
- Gen.G$2 @ 52.0¢
- Over$2 @ 50.0¢
- Lakers$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
- No$18 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$14 @ 68.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
- No$4 @ 75.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$2 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
- Paris Saint-Germain FC$2 @ 54.0¢
- Dignitas$5 @ 42.0¢
- No$12 @ 79.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.9¢
- Canadiens$5 @ 60.0¢
- Nerman Fatic$2 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
- Over$5 @ 49.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$2 @ 39.0¢
- Under$2 @ 53.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 39.3¢ |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $5 | 79.0¢ |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 22.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $5 | 69.0¢ |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $5 | 60.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 14.0¢ |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | No | $2 | 64.0¢ |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 28.1¢ |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 18.0¢ |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 65.5¢ |
- Yes$7 @ 39.3¢
- No$5 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
- No$5 @ 69.0¢
- No$5 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
- No$2 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 28.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 65.5¢