0x9f8d…edbe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9f8d27a27a8037462a28f135d8897d338c83edbe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.3pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

25% @ 27.5¢

Brier

0.111

Resolved

2425

Avg size

$99

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (127/339)	+11%	339
Sports	45% (9/20)	-0%	20
Crypto	13% (1/8)	-50%	8
Politics	20% (1/5)	-40%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other339 bets
Hit rate
37% (127/339)
ROI
+11%
Sports20 bets
Hit rate
45% (9/20)
ROI
-0%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-50%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-40%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

37% hit · 138/375

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$225	75.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	Yes	$204	86.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	No	$438	54.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$660	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?	Yes	$27	15.0¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	No	$42	84.5¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by February 28?	Yes	$50	0.4¢	Lost
Haqparast vs. Salkilld	Salkilld	$39	52.0¢	Won
Will Biden say "Kamala" or "Harris" in ABC interview?	No	$470	58.6¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$203	27.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "sanctuary city" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?	Yes	$351	59.3¢	Won
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?	No	$248	3.2¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$240	24.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Reno" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?	Yes	$32	23.0¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	$444	23.9¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$84	10.9¢	Lost
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?	No	$154	77.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$76	2.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$414	21.7¢	Won
Will POPCAT reach $1b first?	Yes	$7.0k	25.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?	Yes	$158	82.1¢	Lost
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$6	2.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "frack" or "fracking" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?	Yes	$286	86.0¢	Won
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$2.0k	12.0¢	Lost
Matt Gaetz out as Congressman in 2024?	Yes	$77	10.0¢	Won
ZachXBT investigation post over 4M views on day one?	No	$257	6.2¢	Lost
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?	No	$734	78.3¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$96	12.0¢	Won
Miami vs. Indiana	Miami	$109	7.7¢	Lost
Australian Open Women's: Taylor Townsend vs Storm Hunter	Townsend	$578	50.3¢	Lost
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays	Dodgers	$436	57.0¢	Won
Will Kamala say "unburdened" by Friday?	Yes	$40	27.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "hurricane" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?	Yes	$53	36.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	Yes	$85	2.5¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$300	17.9¢	Lost
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Chiefs	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$20	9.0¢	Lost
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?	Yes	$269	61.3¢	Won
$DJT market cap more than $10b on May 15?	Yes	$62	2.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	Yes	$484	8.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	Yes	$36	48.5¢	Lost
Will Coal Battle win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?	Yes	$4	3.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$73	26.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Thunder	Pacers	$678	21.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?	No	$92	3.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$36	2.6¢	Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$250	47.6¢	Lost
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$169	0.4¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?	No	$741	8.3¢	Lost

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$225 @ 75.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Won
Yes$204 @ 86.0¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Won
No$438 @ 54.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$660 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?Lost
Yes$27 @ 15.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Won
No$42 @ 84.5¢
US forces enter Iran by February 28?Lost
Yes$50 @ 0.4¢
Haqparast vs. SalkilldWon
Salkilld$39 @ 52.0¢
Will Biden say "Kamala" or "Harris" in ABC interview?Won
No$470 @ 58.6¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$203 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump say "sanctuary city" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?Won
Yes$351 @ 59.3¢
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Lost
No$248 @ 3.2¢
Colts vs. ChiefsLost
Colts$240 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump say "Reno" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?Lost
Yes$32 @ 23.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Lost
Yes$444 @ 23.9¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$84 @ 10.9¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?Won
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$76 @ 2.0¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$414 @ 21.7¢
Will POPCAT reach $1b first?Won
Yes$7.0k @ 25.6¢
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?Lost
Yes$158 @ 82.1¢
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump say "frack" or "fracking" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?Won
Yes$286 @ 86.0¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 12.0¢
Matt Gaetz out as Congressman in 2024?Won
Yes$77 @ 10.0¢
ZachXBT investigation post over 4M views on day one?Lost
No$257 @ 6.2¢
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Won
No$734 @ 78.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$96 @ 12.0¢
Miami vs. IndianaLost
Miami$109 @ 7.7¢
Australian Open Women's: Taylor Townsend vs Storm HunterLost
Townsend$578 @ 50.3¢
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysWon
Dodgers$436 @ 57.0¢
Will Kamala say "unburdened" by Friday?Lost
Yes$40 @ 27.7¢
Will Trump say "hurricane" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?Lost
Yes$53 @ 36.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$85 @ 2.5¢
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
No$300 @ 17.9¢
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Lost
Chiefs$5 @ 27.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Lost
No$20 @ 9.0¢
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Won
Yes$269 @ 61.3¢
$DJT market cap more than $10b on May 15?Lost
Yes$62 @ 2.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Lost
Yes$484 @ 8.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Lost
Yes$36 @ 48.5¢
Will Coal Battle win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.3¢
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$73 @ 26.0¢
Pacers vs. ThunderLost
Pacers$678 @ 21.5¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?Lost
No$92 @ 3.9¢
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
No$36 @ 2.6¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
Yes$250 @ 47.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$169 @ 0.4¢
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Lost
No$741 @ 8.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$700	14.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$398	3.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$331	8.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$76	6.3¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$63	21.0¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$36	22.4¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$35	21.1¢

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$700 @ 14.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$398 @ 3.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$331 @ 8.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$76 @ 6.3¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$63 @ 21.0¢
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$36 @ 22.4¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$35 @ 21.1¢