0x9f66…3a50

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.8pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

64% @ 56.0¢

Brier

0.149

Resolved

740

Avg size

$94

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (92/146)	+11%	146
Politics	55% (30/55)	+11%	55
Sports	50% (7/14)	-0%	14
Geopolitics	57% (8/14)	-23%	14
Tech	100% (3/3)	+36%	3
Science	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+317%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other146 bets
Hit rate
63% (92/146)
ROI
+11%
Politics55 bets
Hit rate
55% (30/55)
ROI
+11%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
-0%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
-23%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+36%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+317%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

61% hit · 143/235

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$201	8.8¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	$341	50.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$93	83.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$287	49.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$317	86.2¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)	Bilal Hasan	$40	87.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$1.9k	59.9¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$210	21.0¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Lost
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$79	20.1¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$172	22.3¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	No	$1.1k	79.2¢	Won
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robert Whittaker	$102	55.0¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?	Yes	$110	16.5¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?	No	$287	81.2¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$469	86.1¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$374	22.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$101	79.7¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$88	79.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$490	81.8¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	No	$554	66.5¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$239	67.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$2.3k	75.5¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$559	75.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$121	74.9¢	Won
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	2.9¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$543	77.7¢	Won
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$233	50.8¢	Won
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	$179	80.7¢	Won
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$34	15.7¢	Lost
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)	Terrance McKinney	$35	49.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$104	14.3¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$37	78.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$130	87.5¢	Won
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?	No	$566	74.2¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?	No	$301	56.2¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?	Yes	$40	67.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$444	68.7¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)	Cameron Nelson	$51	67.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	$51	56.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$32	23.8¢	Lost
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$130	31.0¢	Won
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	$32	51.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	$83	5.2¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	$106	71.0¢	Lost
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$5.3k	54.4¢	Won
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	$46	14.7¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?	No	$310	87.7¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?	Yes	$111	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$1.1k	73.9¢	Won

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
No$201 @ 8.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Steve Erceg$341 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$93 @ 83.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$287 @ 49.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$317 @ 86.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Bilal Hasan$40 @ 87.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$1.9k @ 59.9¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$210 @ 21.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$79 @ 20.1¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$172 @ 22.3¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Won
No$1.1k @ 79.2¢
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Robert Whittaker$102 @ 55.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Lost
Yes$110 @ 16.5¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?Won
No$287 @ 81.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$469 @ 86.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$374 @ 22.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$101 @ 79.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$88 @ 79.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$490 @ 81.8¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Lost
No$554 @ 66.5¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$239 @ 67.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
No$2.3k @ 75.5¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
No$559 @ 75.0¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$121 @ 74.9¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31 @ 2.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$543 @ 77.7¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$233 @ 50.8¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Won
No$179 @ 80.7¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$34 @ 15.7¢
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Terrance McKinney$35 @ 49.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$104 @ 14.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Won
No$37 @ 78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
No$130 @ 87.5¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Won
No$566 @ 74.2¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Lost
No$301 @ 56.2¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Won
Yes$40 @ 67.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$444 @ 68.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)Won
Cameron Nelson$51 @ 67.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)Lost
Ding Meng$51 @ 56.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$32 @ 23.8¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$130 @ 31.0¢
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Won
Yes$32 @ 51.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Lost
Yes$83 @ 5.2¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$106 @ 71.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$5.3k @ 54.4¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Lost
No$46 @ 14.7¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Lost
No$310 @ 87.7¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Won
Yes$111 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 73.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	—	No	$1.5k	55.2¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	—	No	$1.3k	36.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	—	No	$1.2k	39.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	—	No	$1.1k	49.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Politics	No	$840	28.0¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	—	No	$789	84.2¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	—	No	$698	75.3¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	—	No	$689	86.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$661	54.5¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$618	73.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	—	Yes	$500	54.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	—	No	$500	81.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	—	No	$445	69.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	Yes	$399	30.5¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	—	Alexandre Pantoja	$343	49.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	—	No	$320	65.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	Yes	$300	87.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	—	Yes	$287	80.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	—	No	$284	60.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?	—	No	$265	6.5¢
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	—	Yes	$257	90.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$217	28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	—	No	$216	30.3¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$210	47.2¢
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$210	71.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	—	Yes	$203	17.7¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	—	No	$200	79.9¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	—	No	$180	14.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	Yes	$170	15.5¢
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	—	No	$142	46.0¢

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?—
No$1.5k @ 55.2¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?—
No$1.3k @ 36.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?—
No$1.2k @ 39.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?—
No$1.1k @ 49.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics
No$840 @ 28.0¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?—
No$789 @ 84.2¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?—
No$698 @ 75.3¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?—
No$689 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?—
No$661 @ 54.5¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?—
No$618 @ 73.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?—
Yes$500 @ 54.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?—
No$500 @ 81.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?—
No$445 @ 69.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
Yes$399 @ 30.5¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)—
Alexandre Pantoja$343 @ 49.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?—
No$320 @ 65.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
Yes$300 @ 87.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?—
Yes$287 @ 80.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?—
No$284 @ 60.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?—
No$265 @ 6.5¢
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?—
Yes$257 @ 90.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?—
No$217 @ 28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?—
No$216 @ 30.3¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$210 @ 47.2¢
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?—
No$210 @ 71.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?—
Yes$203 @ 17.7¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?—
No$200 @ 79.9¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?—
No$180 @ 14.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
Yes$170 @ 15.5¢
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?—
No$142 @ 46.0¢