← Smart money
0x9ef5…5d4f
SharpROI
+41%
Win rate
53%
Brier
0.118
Resolved
239
Avg size
$492
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
0% hit · 0/1| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | $20 | 40.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $42.8k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $42.8k | 50.0¢ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $4.4k | 62.2¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2.8k | 36.9¢ |
- Yes$42.8k @ 50.0¢
- No$42.8k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 62.2¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 36.9¢