← Smart money
0x9ee4…697b
ProfitableEdge
-21.4pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
40% @ 61.0¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
508
Avg size
$5.1k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 56% (5/9) | -6% | 9 |
| Other | 86% (6/7) | +17% | 7 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +18% | 3 |
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- -6%
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
68% hit · 13/19| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Rams | Rams | $128.8k | 75.0¢ | Lost |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | Chiefs | $840 | 68.0¢ | Won |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Yes | $15.9k | 50.1¢ | Lost |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | Giants | $110.6k | 67.0¢ | Won |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | Under | $105.4k | 68.0¢ | Won |
| 49ers vs. Rams | Rams | $115.5k | 55.0¢ | Lost |
| Oregon vs. USC | Oregon | $102.0k | 70.9¢ | Won |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys | Cowboys | $68.8k | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | Under | $220.7k | 71.7¢ | Won |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $110.6k | 67.8¢ | Won |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $44.3k | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $792.6k | 78.8¢ | Won |
| Panthers vs. Browns | Panthers | $128.9k | 83.1¢ | Lost |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $55.2k | 27.4¢ | Lost |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) | Bills | $50.1k | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Spread: Rams (-5.5) | Broncos | $250.8k | 76.0¢ | Won |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | Ravens | $231.0k | 70.0¢ | Won |
| Rams vs. Broncos | Rams | $64.6k | 64.6¢ | Lost |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | Chiefs | $145.7k | 83.3¢ | Won |
- Rams$128.8k @ 75.0¢
- Chiefs$840 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$15.9k @ 50.1¢
- Giants$110.6k @ 67.0¢
- Under$105.4k @ 68.0¢
- 49ers vs. RamsLostRams$115.5k @ 55.0¢
- Oregon$102.0k @ 70.9¢
- Cowboys$68.8k @ 80.0¢
- Under$220.7k @ 71.7¢
- Yes$110.6k @ 67.8¢
- Yes$44.3k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$792.6k @ 78.8¢
- Panthers$128.9k @ 83.1¢
- Yes$55.2k @ 27.4¢
- Bills$50.1k @ 80.0¢
- Broncos$250.8k @ 76.0¢
- Ravens$231.0k @ 70.0¢
- Rams vs. BroncosLostRams$64.6k @ 64.6¢
- Chiefs$145.7k @ 83.3¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Rams | Sports | Rams | $128.8k | 75.0¢ |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Sports | Yes | $115.4k | 57.7¢ |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? | Sports | Yes | $97.9k | 49.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $4.5k | 63.0¢ |
- Cardinals vs. RamsSportsRams$128.8k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$115.4k @ 57.7¢
- Yes$97.9k @ 49.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 63.0¢