0x9de6…d884

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9de65f8ad2a6a8619991084d7ecaeb0cab89d884
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+9.5pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

69% @ 59.9¢

Brier

0.256

Resolved

219

Avg size

$74

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (19/29)	+0%	29
Politics	67% (8/12)	+28%	12
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other29 bets
Hit rate
66% (19/29)
ROI
+0%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
67% (8/12)
ROI
+28%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

63% hit · 27/43

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?	No	$7	57.0¢	Won
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?	No	$133	85.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$172	75.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	Yes	$998	53.6¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?	Yes	$28	68.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	No	$449	86.8¢	Won
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	$2.0k	74.3¢	Won
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	$2.1k	72.5¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$97	67.4¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?	Yes	$443	73.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?	Yes	$626	23.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	No	$190	58.0¢	Won
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	$150	75.0¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	No	$408	43.9¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$69	69.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$1.5k	71.7¢	Won
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	No	$942	50.9¢	Lost
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?	No	$11	86.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?	Yes	$244	58.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$45	8.3¢	Lost
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?	No	$33	79.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	$247	81.0¢	Lost
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?	No	$417	83.4¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$280	87.0¢	Won
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	$63	63.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?	Yes	$146	49.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$238	75.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$827	86.8¢	Won
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	$17	78.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	Yes	$226	64.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	$178	89.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?	Yes	$252	84.0¢	Lost
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	$268	67.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?	Yes	$110	55.0¢	Lost
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$53	80.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?	No	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 13?	Yes	$669	69.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?	Yes	$63	60.3¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	$828	49.3¢	Lost
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?	No	$356	89.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	No	$183	66.0¢	Won

Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?Won
No$7 @ 57.0¢
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?Won
No$133 @ 85.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$172 @ 75.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Lost
Yes$998 @ 53.6¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Won
Yes$28 @ 68.0¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Won
No$449 @ 86.8¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Won
No$2.0k @ 74.3¢
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Won
No$2.1k @ 72.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$97 @ 67.4¢
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Won
Yes$443 @ 73.8¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Won
Yes$626 @ 23.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Won
No$190 @ 58.0¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Lost
Yes$150 @ 75.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Won
No$408 @ 43.9¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
No$1.5k @ 71.7¢
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Lost
No$942 @ 50.9¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Won
No$11 @ 86.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Lost
Yes$244 @ 58.7¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$45 @ 8.3¢
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?Lost
No$33 @ 79.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
No$247 @ 81.0¢
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?Won
No$417 @ 83.4¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$280 @ 87.0¢
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?Won
No$63 @ 63.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?Lost
Yes$146 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$238 @ 75.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Won
No$827 @ 86.8¢
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?Won
Yes$17 @ 78.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Won
Yes$226 @ 64.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Won
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Lost
Yes$252 @ 84.0¢
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Lost
Yes$268 @ 67.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Lost
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
No$53 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?Won
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 13?Won
Yes$669 @ 69.8¢
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?Won
Yes$63 @ 60.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Lost
No$828 @ 49.3¢
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Won
No$356 @ 89.0¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Won
No$183 @ 66.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$320	61.2¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$120	47.5¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$111	58.6¢

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$320 @ 61.2¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$120 @ 47.5¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$111 @ 58.6¢