← Smart money
0x9dd3…91f2
SharpEdge
+29.2pp
ROI
+72%
Win rate
83% @ 53.7¢
Brier
0.193
Resolved
35
Avg size
$182
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (4/6) | +72% | 6 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +21% | 1 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +72%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +21%
Track record
71% hit · 5/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Thunder | $8 | 74.0¢ | Won |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga? | Yes | $61 | 0.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $4 | 82.7¢ | Won |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | No | $61 | 85.5¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $2.3k | 57.5¢ | Won |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $76 | 89.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $3.9k | 56.3¢ | Won |
- Thunder$8 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 82.7¢
- No$61 @ 85.5¢
- No$2.3k @ 57.5¢
- No$76 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 56.3¢
Recent trades
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