← Smart money
0x9d45…b661
SharpEdge
+5.7pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
31% @ 25.0¢
Brier
0.176
Resolved
2325
Avg size
$61
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (75/224) | +26% | 224 |
| Sports | 16% (5/31) | -66% | 31 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +130% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other224 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (75/224)
- ROI
- +26%
- Sports31 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (5/31)
- ROI
- -66%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +130%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 81/258- Chiefs$111 @ 37.0¢
- Bucks vs. PacersLostBucks$20 @ 39.0¢
- No$5 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
- Mariners$19 @ 38.0¢
- Rockets$1.5k @ 38.1¢
- Warriors$5.8k @ 17.2¢
- No$68 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$264 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$131 @ 43.0¢
- Yankees$11 @ 21.0¢
- No$38 @ 22.9¢
- Warriors$1.4k @ 5.1¢
- New York Yankees$36 @ 39.6¢
- Clippers$3.2k @ 11.2¢
- Yes$212 @ 5.3¢
- Minnesota Twins$1 @ 0.3¢
- New York Mets$335 @ 50.6¢
- Mariners$407 @ 48.5¢
- Nationals$215 @ 43.0¢
- Timberwolves$120 @ 7.3¢
- Warriors$1.3k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
- Pacers vs. BucksLostBucks$1.9k @ 16.1¢
- Pacers$396 @ 38.2¢
- New York Yankees$61 @ 61.0¢
- Knicks$2.0k @ 35.3¢
- Pistons$1.0k @ 19.0¢
- No$276 @ 55.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.8¢
- Mariners$336 @ 42.0¢
- Padres$87 @ 11.1¢
- Rockets$696 @ 5.5¢
- Warriors$1.1k @ 41.5¢
- Clippers$204 @ 68.0¢
- Nuggets$1.6k @ 19.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 34.5¢
- Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
- No$25 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$412 @ 39.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 7.1¢
- Grizzlies$1.2k @ 17.1¢
- Yes$190 @ 47.5¢
- Lakers$1.5k @ 19.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
- Twolves$16 @ 31.0¢
- Mariners$96 @ 53.0¢
- Knicks$377 @ 8.8¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $408 | 34.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $347 | 29.5¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $216 | 36.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $133 | 19.0¢ |
| Chiefs vs. Seahawks | Sports | Chiefs | $111 | 37.0¢ |
| Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | Sports | Yes | $62 | 13.9¢ |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October | Geopolitics | Something | $1 | 2.4¢ |
- No$408 @ 34.0¢
- No$347 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$216 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 19.0¢
- Chiefs vs. SeahawksSportsChiefs$111 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 13.9¢
- Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberGeopoliticsSomething$1 @ 2.4¢