← Smart money
0x9cea…a932
SharpEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
39% @ 34.8¢
Brier
0.152
Resolved
951
Avg size
$38
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 36% (55/151) | +6% | 151 |
| Politics | 80% (41/51) | +19% | 51 |
- Other151 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (55/151)
- ROI
- +6%
- Politics51 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (41/51)
- ROI
- +19%
Track record
48% hit · 96/202- No$369 @ 68.1¢
- No$620 @ 95.9¢
- No$625 @ 78.4¢
- No$659 @ 91.4¢
- No$518 @ 87.9¢
- No$913 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Nuggets$181 @ 60.3¢
- No$183 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$147 @ 32.0¢
- No$69 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$474 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$459 @ 52.9¢
- No$105 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$228 @ 13.2¢
- No$779 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 28.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 1.8¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$51 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$168 @ 3.2¢
- No$88 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 14.6¢
- Nuggets$18 @ 60.0¢
- No$37 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$36 @ 24.0¢
- No$882 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
- Pistons$136 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$317 @ 61.0¢
- Cavaliers$228 @ 60.0¢
- Cavaliers$34 @ 68.0¢
- No$86 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$94 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$92 @ 37.0¢
- No$49 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 65.5¢
- No$260 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$192 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$197 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 11.9¢
- Yes$26 @ 7.0¢
- No$5 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 28.9¢
- No$791 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$80 @ 10.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Politics | No | $965 | 82.3¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Politics | No | $620 | 95.9¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Politics | No | $543 | 90.5¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Politics | No | $369 | 68.1¢ |
- No$965 @ 82.3¢
- No$620 @ 95.9¢
- No$543 @ 90.5¢
- No$369 @ 68.1¢