0x9c98…f4f4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9c987f84d18a4dd640909409b31212fbb805f4f4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.3pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

68% @ 60.8¢

Brier

0.185

Resolved

653

Avg size

$1.1k

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (68/112)	+14%	112
Sports	52% (41/79)	-1%	79
Politics	61% (11/18)	+6%	18
Geopolitics	83% (5/6)	+26%	6

Other112 bets
Hit rate
61% (68/112)
ROI
+14%
Sports79 bets
Hit rate
52% (41/79)
ROI
-1%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
ROI
+6%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+26%

Track record

58% hit · 125/215

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$102	42.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	67.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$253	66.0¢	Won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	$303	69.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$101	74.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$303	67.5¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10.7k	20.9¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$204	41.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$406	53.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$10.0k	82.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5	Over	$406	47.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	43.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$920	54.4¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	No	$404	69.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$3.5k	31.5¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.1k	4.0¢	Lost
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$607	63.0¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$1.1k	56.6¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	$202	72.0¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	40.7¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$405	60.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$800	85.6¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$304	51.0¢	Won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$708	59.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$8.2k	85.2¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$1.8k	38.2¢	Lost
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Qatar	$203	52.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$305	43.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$101	66.0¢	Won
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds	Athletics	$515	40.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$7.8k	84.1¢	Won
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$405	57.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$6.2k	88.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$710	54.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	69.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$2.9k	62.5¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$201	81.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	$2.4k	21.7¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$12.2k	71.9¢	Won
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$101	72.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$2.0k	64.1¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$301	89.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$11.4k	62.8¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.1k	6.0¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$2.2k	19.6¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$919	30.2¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$356	37.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$6.1k	83.1¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	70.3¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$4.1k	52.7¢	Won

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$102 @ 42.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 67.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$253 @ 66.0¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Won
Portugal$303 @ 69.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$101 @ 74.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$303 @ 67.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10.7k @ 20.9¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$204 @ 41.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$406 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$10.0k @ 82.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Won
Over$406 @ 47.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$51 @ 43.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$920 @ 54.4¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Won
No$404 @ 69.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 31.5¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 4.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$607 @ 63.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$1.1k @ 56.6¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Lost
No$202 @ 72.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 40.7¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$405 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$800 @ 85.6¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$304 @ 51.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$708 @ 59.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$8.2k @ 85.2¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 38.2¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Lost
Qatar$203 @ 52.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Over$305 @ 43.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$101 @ 66.0¢
Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsLost
Athletics$515 @ 40.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$7.8k @ 84.1¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$405 @ 57.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$6.2k @ 88.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$710 @ 54.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 69.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 62.5¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$201 @ 81.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
No$2.4k @ 21.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$12.2k @ 71.9¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$101 @ 72.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 64.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$301 @ 89.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$11.4k @ 62.8¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3.1k @ 6.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 19.6¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$919 @ 30.2¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$356 @ 37.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
No$6.1k @ 83.1¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 70.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
No$4.1k @ 52.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$39.5k	80.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	No	$27.1k	95.2¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	—	No	$15.2k	94.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$15.2k	90.5¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$13.3k	70.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$8.0k	76.6¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$39.5k @ 80.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
No$27.1k @ 95.2¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?—
No$15.2k @ 94.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?—
No$15.2k @ 90.5¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?—
No$13.3k @ 70.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$8.0k @ 76.6¢