0x9bd7…96d3

Specialization by sphere

• Other489 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (185/489)

  ROI

  +4%

• Politics59 bets

  Hit rate

  42% (25/59)

  ROI

  +38%

• Geopolitics17 bets

  Hit rate

  24% (4/17)

  ROI

  -44%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (4/7)

  ROI

  +257%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  +325%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -87%

• Science2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Culture2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$56 @ 56.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?Won
  No$53 @ 78.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1?Won
  No$44 @ 88.9¢
• Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 18.3¢
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
  No$63 @ 62.0¢
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 9.6¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
• Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in March 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 40.0¢
• Grok 4.6 released on August 12, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Lost
  No$171 @ 80.0¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
  No$13 @ 4.5¢
• Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?Lost
  No$15 @ 24.7¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$16 @ 7.6¢
• TikTok sale announced by September 30?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Won
  No$2 @ 9.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 66.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?Lost
  No$38 @ 38.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 10.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?Won
  No$12 @ 80.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$50 @ 23.6¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
  Yes$18 @ 25.3¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 42.9¢
• Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 16.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$2 @ 28.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Won
  Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
• Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 6.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Won
  No$10 @ 20.0¢
• Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?Won
  Yes$15 @ 39.5¢
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$7 @ 34.0¢
• North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 32.5¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$11 @ 24.9¢
• LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
  Team Heretics$5 @ 9.0¢
• Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?Won
  No$172 @ 47.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
  Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
• Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
• Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?Won
  No$39 @ 39.0¢
• Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Won
  Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
• Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?Lost
  No$10 @ 16.7¢
• United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?Won
  No$10 @ 84.8¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
  No$19 @ 18.9¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Lost
  No$31 @ 70.0¢
• Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Lost
  No$2 @ 9.8¢
• Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$262 @ 62.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Won
  No$106 @ 42.3¢
• Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Lost
  No$5 @ 1.2¢
• Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$6 @ 11.0¢

Current positions

• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?Geopolitics
  No$39 @ 31.6¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?Geopolitics
  Yes$16 @ 44.6¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?Geopolitics
  No$15 @ 7.0¢
• Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$14 @ 18.2¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?Geopolitics
  No$8 @ 19.0¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 21.9¢
• Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
• US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?Geopolitics
  No$3 @ 30.0¢
• Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 54.2¢
• Kim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027?Culture
  Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?Geopolitics
  No$2 @ 10.0¢
• McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
• Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
• Will Xi leave the USA on September 26, 2026?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 2.0¢