← Smart money
0x9ba4…f8c2
SharpEdge
+16.1pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
84% @ 68.2¢
Brier
0.115
Resolved
1053
Avg size
$193
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 91% (762/835) | +28% | 835 |
| Politics | 94% (33/35) | +10% | 35 |
- Other835 bets
- Hit rate
- 91% (762/835)
- ROI
- +28%
- Politics35 bets
- Hit rate
- 94% (33/35)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
91% hit · 795/870- Yes$70 @ 82.6¢
- Yes$63 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$64 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$168 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$251 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$75 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 80.2¢
- Yes$110 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 76.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
- Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?WonYes$121 @ 84.5¢
- Yes$28 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$582 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$137 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$125 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$372 @ 78.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 24.4¢
- Yes$114 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$331 @ 80.1¢
- Yes$496 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$268 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$166 @ 66.8¢
- Yes$73 @ 66.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 80.3¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 77.9¢
- Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?WonYes$220 @ 77.2¢
- Yes$127 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 83.9¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 89.8¢
- Yes$235 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$14 @ 84.6¢
- Yes$47 @ 87.0¢
- Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?LostYes$35 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 61.0¢
- Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" during events with Polish president on September 3?WonYes$303 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$51 @ 60.5¢
- Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Innovation" during executive order signing events on November 13?WonYes$9 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$132 @ 66.6¢
- Yes$89 @ 84.8¢
- Yes$829 @ 73.1¢
- Yes$376 @ 86.1¢
Recent trades
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