0x9b9a…9cc7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9b9a3ef4b9c05e07d94cee62e9d2a8107f5c9cc7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-8.6pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

35% @ 43.6¢

Brier

0.140

Resolved

409

Avg size

$77

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (23/39)	+13%	39
Crypto	27% (3/11)	-16%	11
Sports	40% (2/5)	-81%	5
Tech	50% (1/2)	-88%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other39 bets
Hit rate
59% (23/39)
ROI
+13%
Crypto11 bets
Hit rate
27% (3/11)
ROI
-16%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-81%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-88%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

52% hit · 30/58

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$297	75.9¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	$2.9k	36.9¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$1.0k	10.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$38	13.4¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Lost
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$695	53.5¢	Lost
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$67	67.0¢	Lost
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?	No	$68	17.0¢	Won
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?	Yes	$226	30.1¢	Lost
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$917	87.8¢	Won
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?	No	$700	39.5¢	Won
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$2.6k	86.9¢	Won
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$83	77.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$74	0.7¢	Lost
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$30	12.2¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	$129	32.3¢	Lost
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	$126	42.0¢	Lost
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	$448	82.9¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	$322	13.3¢	Lost
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	$89	29.8¢	Won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	Yes	$580	23.6¢	Lost
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?	Yes	$117	39.0¢	Lost
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$56	24.4¢	Lost
Spread: Norway (-2.5)	Iraq	$66	65.0¢	Lost
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?	No	$2.8k	31.0¢	Lost
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$1.1k	75.6¢	Won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	DR Congo	$50	49.0¢	Won
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	$220	70.7¢	Lost
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	$307	30.7¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	$743	36.0¢	Lost
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	No	$100	70.0¢	Won
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	$802	81.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$55	54.0¢	Won
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$74	74.0¢	Won
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$120	40.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Won
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?	No	$8.0k	61.2¢	Won
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	No	$635	56.7¢	Won
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$255	85.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	$137	45.0¢	Lost
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?	Yes	$1000	37.0¢	Won
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	$463	66.1¢	Won
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?	No	$114	52.0¢	Won
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?	Yes	$263	29.4¢	Lost
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$115	38.3¢	Won
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	$81	58.0¢	Lost
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	$167	66.6¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?	No	$189	85.7¢	Won
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	$1.3k	81.5¢	Won

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Won
Yes$297 @ 75.9¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Lost
No$2.9k @ 36.9¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 10.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$38 @ 13.4¢
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$695 @ 53.5¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Won
No$68 @ 17.0¢
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Lost
Yes$226 @ 30.1¢
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$917 @ 87.8¢
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?Won
No$700 @ 39.5¢
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 86.9¢
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$83 @ 77.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 0.7¢
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
Yes$30 @ 12.2¢
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Lost
No$129 @ 32.3¢
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Lost
No$126 @ 42.0¢
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Won
Yes$448 @ 82.9¢
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Lost
No$322 @ 13.3¢
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Won
Yes$89 @ 29.8¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Lost
Yes$580 @ 23.6¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?Lost
Yes$117 @ 39.0¢
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$56 @ 24.4¢
Spread: Norway (-2.5)Lost
Iraq$66 @ 65.0¢
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?Lost
No$2.8k @ 31.0¢
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
No$1.1k @ 75.6¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Won
DR Congo$50 @ 49.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
No$220 @ 70.7¢
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?Lost
Yes$307 @ 30.7¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?Lost
Yes$743 @ 36.0¢
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?Won
No$100 @ 70.0¢
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?Won
No$802 @ 81.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Won
Over$55 @ 54.0¢
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Won
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
Yes$120 @ 40.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Won
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?Won
No$8.0k @ 61.2¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Won
No$635 @ 56.7¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$255 @ 85.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Lost
No$137 @ 45.0¢
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Lost
No$17 @ 17.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?Won
Yes$1000 @ 37.0¢
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Won
No$463 @ 66.1¢
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Won
No$114 @ 52.0¢
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Lost
Yes$263 @ 29.4¢
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$115 @ 38.3¢
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$81 @ 58.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Lost
No$167 @ 66.6¢
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Won
No$189 @ 85.7¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
No$1.3k @ 81.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Tech	No	$2.9k	36.9¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Sports	Yes	$720	36.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$72	0.7¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$67	67.0¢
Spread: Norway (-2.5)	Sports	Iraq	$65	65.0¢

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Tech
No$2.9k @ 36.9¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?Sports
Yes$720 @ 36.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$72 @ 0.7¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Norway (-2.5)Sports
Iraq$65 @ 65.0¢