0x9b12…c2d5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.1pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

16% @ 11.1¢

Brier

0.077

Resolved

364

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	16% (279/1791)	-7%	1791
Science	13% (127/973)	-2%	973
Politics	17% (9/53)	-64%	53
Sports	40% (12/30)	+25%	30
Culture	33% (3/9)	+17%	9
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	-9%	5
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other1791 bets
Hit rate
16% (279/1791)
ROI
-7%
Science973 bets
Hit rate
13% (127/973)
ROI
-2%
Politics53 bets
Hit rate
17% (9/53)
ROI
-64%
Sports30 bets
Hit rate
40% (12/30)
ROI
+25%
Culture9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-9%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

15% hit · 431/2870

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on July 3?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$33	49.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	No	$6	12.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$7	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$110	60.7¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$16	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	No	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$59	28.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	No	$12	39.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	$33	61.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	$0	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	No	$5	60.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?	No	$3	26.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	No	$25	60.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	Yes	$101	80.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$2	3.9¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$33 @ 49.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Lost
No$6 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$110 @ 60.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Won
Yes$16 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Lost
No$2 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Won
Yes$59 @ 28.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Lost
No$12 @ 39.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Won
Yes$33 @ 61.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
No$0 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$5 @ 60.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?Won
No$3 @ 26.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?Lost
No$25 @ 60.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?Won
Yes$101 @ 80.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 6?	—	Yes	$1.2k	24.6¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 6?	—	Yes	$969	20.0¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 6?	—	Yes	$229	4.6¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 6?	—	Yes	$156	3.1¢
Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 6?	—	Yes	$154	3.1¢
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on July 6?	—	Yes	$139	2.8¢
Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Politics	No	$123	93.3¢
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$37	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$36	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$36	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$36	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$36	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$35	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$35	2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$34	2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$34	2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or below on July 1?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 1?	—	Yes	$33	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$33	9.1¢

Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 6?—
Yes$1.2k @ 24.6¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 6?—
Yes$969 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 6?—
Yes$229 @ 4.6¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 6?—
Yes$156 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 6?—
Yes$154 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on July 6?—
Yes$139 @ 2.8¢
Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Politics
No$123 @ 93.3¢
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$37 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$36 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$36 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$36 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$36 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$35 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$35 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 1?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 1?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$34 @ 2.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$34 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 1?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or below on July 1?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 1?—
Yes$33 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 1?—
Yes$33 @ 9.1¢