0x9a8a…5af6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9a8a4d15dc5249bd309f1458c186cddf2d135af6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.9pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

32% @ 26.9¢

Brier

0.193

Resolved

1321

Avg size

$13

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (170/499)	+32%	499
Culture	45% (5/11)	-43%	11
Politics	33% (3/9)	-50%	9

Other499 bets
Hit rate
34% (170/499)
ROI
+32%
Culture11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
-43%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
-50%

Track record

34% hit · 178/519

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?	No	$8	45.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?	Yes	$22	11.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?	Yes	$62	16.2¢	Lost
Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during NVIDIA keynote?	No	$3	3.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	Yes	$12	60.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?	Yes	$56	20.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (October 27 - November 2)	Yes	$27	29.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?	Yes	$3	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?	No	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Saudi PM events on November 18?	Yes	$35	30.5¢	Won
Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?	No	$1	3.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	No	$57	40.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$30	15.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$10	9.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?	No	$255	32.3¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$2	85.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	No	$2	31.4¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$2	3.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?	Yes	$6	20.7¢	Lost
Will Mamdani say "Immigrant" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?	Yes	$11	34.8¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Fake News" during remarks in NC on September 24?	No	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)	No	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Will Keir Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$106	76.9¢	Won
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?	No	$227	55.2¢	Lost
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$10	64.0¢	Lost
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	Yes	$279	17.2¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?	Yes	$16	38.8¢	Lost
Will a handshake between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman only be photographed on November 18 2025?	No	$11	54.0¢	Won
Will anyone say "National Guard" 5+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?	No	$55	14.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?	No	$28	10.4¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?	Yes	$1	5.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?	Yes	$49	42.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 24?	Yes	$2	7.7¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	$173	17.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?	Yes	$13	33.0¢	Won
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?	No	$13	34.0¢	Lost
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?	No	$20	75.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7?	Yes	$48	12.0¢	Lost
Will anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?	No	$23	20.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	$67	20.7¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Lost
No$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
No$8 @ 45.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?Lost
Yes$62 @ 16.2¢
Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Lost
No$3 @ 3.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Lost
Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?Lost
Yes$56 @ 20.4¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Lost
Yes$27 @ 29.1¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Won
Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?Lost
No$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Won
Yes$35 @ 30.5¢
Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Lost
No$1 @ 3.7¢
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?Lost
No$57 @ 40.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$30 @ 15.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$10 @ 9.9¢
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?Won
No$255 @ 32.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
No$2 @ 85.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Lost
No$2 @ 31.4¢
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?Lost
Yes$6 @ 20.7¢
Will Mamdani say "Immigrant" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Won
Yes$11 @ 34.8¢
Will JD Vance say "Fake News" during remarks in NC on September 24?Lost
No$3 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Lost
No$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
No$106 @ 76.9¢
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Lost
No$227 @ 55.2¢
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Lost
Yes$279 @ 17.2¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?Lost
Yes$16 @ 38.8¢
Will a handshake between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman only be photographed on November 18 2025?Won
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will anyone say "National Guard" 5+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Lost
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?Won
No$55 @ 14.6¢
Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Lost
No$28 @ 10.4¢
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
Will Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Won
Yes$49 @ 42.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.7¢
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Lost
No$173 @ 17.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Won
Yes$13 @ 33.0¢
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Lost
No$13 @ 34.0¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Won
No$20 @ 75.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7?Lost
Yes$48 @ 12.0¢
Will anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Won
No$23 @ 20.8¢
Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Lost
No$67 @ 20.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Politics	Yes	$22	56.0¢

Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Politics
Yes$22 @ 56.0¢