0x9a43…2fce

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9a43ef13a80f1e6b16b27ad4275f9ffd53c92fce
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.6pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

49% @ 35.0¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

204

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	23% (13/57)	+5%	57
Tech	100% (3/3)	+31%	3

Other57 bets
Hit rate
23% (13/57)
ROI
+5%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+31%

Track record

27% hit · 16/60

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$200	83.0¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	$400	72.0¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$68	86.0¢	Won
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	$100	81.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	$110	95.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	$116	77.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	$100	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	$40	83.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?	Yes	$31	22.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Thunder	Kings	$40	8.0¢	Lost
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$301	29.0¢	Lost
Wizards vs. 76ers	Wizards	$101	14.0¢	Lost
Wizards vs. Spurs	Wizards	$99	11.0¢	Lost
Texas vs. Ohio State	Texas	$47	47.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Grizzlies	76ers	$200	50.0¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$408	68.0¢	Won
Broncos vs. Commanders	Commanders	$222	27.3¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Warriors	Warriors	$624	45.0¢	Lost
Buccaneers vs. Rams	Buccaneers	$20	25.0¢	Lost
Northwestern vs. Tulane	Northwestern	$36	36.0¢	Lost
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers	Northwestern Wildcats	$85	17.0¢	Lost
Troy vs. James Madison	Troy	$75	4.0¢	Lost
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes	Duquesne Dukes	$13	18.0¢	Lost
North Texas vs. Rice	Rice	$18	11.0¢	Lost
Tulane vs. Ole Miss	Tulane	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$60	48.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?	Yes	$105	70.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	$100	39.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$60	30.0¢	Lost
Alabama vs. Florida State	Alabama	$38	26.0¢	Lost
Titans vs. 49ers	Titans	$0	11.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Nets	Nets	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Hornets	$102	17.0¢	Won
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?	No	$24	47.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Jaguars	Jets	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Heat vs. Magic	Heat	$338	50.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Rockets	Kings	$81	9.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?	Yes	$100	84.0¢	Won
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls	Buffalo Bulls	$20	39.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$22	9.0¢	Lost
Cardinals vs. Texans	Cardinals	$102	17.0¢	Lost
Bills vs. Patriots	Bills	$740	69.4¢	Won
Texans vs. Colts	Colts	$60	47.0¢	Lost
Colorado State vs. Boise State	Colorado State	$25	12.0¢	Lost
Michigan vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	$183	45.4¢	Lost
Villanova Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Villanova Wildcats	$102	6.0¢	Lost
Jazz vs. Lakers	Jazz	$16	16.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Heat	Warriors	$45	23.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Magic	Magic	$100	38.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Pistons	Rockets	$858	40.7¢	Won

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 83.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Won
Yes$400 @ 72.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$68 @ 86.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 81.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETLost
Down$110 @ 95.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETLost
Up$116 @ 77.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETLost
Down$100 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETLost
Up$40 @ 83.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?Lost
Yes$31 @ 22.0¢
Kings vs. ThunderLost
Kings$40 @ 8.0¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Lost
Yes$301 @ 29.0¢
Wizards vs. 76ersLost
Wizards$101 @ 14.0¢
Wizards vs. SpursLost
Wizards$99 @ 11.0¢
Texas vs. Ohio StateLost
Texas$47 @ 47.0¢
76ers vs. GrizzliesWon
76ers$200 @ 50.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$408 @ 68.0¢
Broncos vs. CommandersLost
Commanders$222 @ 27.3¢
Rockets vs. WarriorsLost
Warriors$624 @ 45.0¢
Buccaneers vs. RamsLost
Buccaneers$20 @ 25.0¢
Northwestern vs. TulaneLost
Northwestern$36 @ 36.0¢
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin BadgersLost
Northwestern Wildcats$85 @ 17.0¢
Troy vs. James MadisonLost
Troy$75 @ 4.0¢
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne DukesLost
Duquesne Dukes$13 @ 18.0¢
North Texas vs. RiceLost
Rice$18 @ 11.0¢
Tulane vs. Ole MissLost
Tulane$110 @ 11.0¢
Rockets vs. CavaliersLost
Cavaliers$60 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Won
Yes$105 @ 70.0¢
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLost
Spurs$100 @ 39.0¢
Celtics vs. CavaliersLost
Cavaliers$60 @ 30.0¢
Alabama vs. Florida StateLost
Alabama$38 @ 26.0¢
Titans vs. 49ersLost
Titans$0 @ 11.0¢
Celtics vs. NetsLost
Nets$17 @ 17.0¢
Hornets vs. CavaliersWon
Hornets$102 @ 17.0¢
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Won
No$24 @ 47.0¢
Jets vs. JaguarsLost
Jets$100 @ 10.0¢
Heat vs. MagicLost
Heat$338 @ 50.0¢
Kings vs. RocketsLost
Kings$81 @ 9.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?Won
Yes$100 @ 84.0¢
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo BullsWon
Buffalo Bulls$20 @ 39.0¢
Thunder vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$22 @ 9.0¢
Cardinals vs. TexansLost
Cardinals$102 @ 17.0¢
Bills vs. PatriotsWon
Bills$740 @ 69.4¢
Texans vs. ColtsLost
Colts$60 @ 47.0¢
Colorado State vs. Boise StateLost
Colorado State$25 @ 12.0¢
Michigan vs. NorthwesternLost
Northwestern$183 @ 45.4¢
Villanova Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Villanova Wildcats$102 @ 6.0¢
Jazz vs. LakersLost
Jazz$16 @ 16.0¢
Warriors vs. HeatLost
Warriors$45 @ 23.0¢
Warriors vs. MagicWon
Magic$100 @ 38.0¢
Rockets vs. PistonsWon
Rockets$858 @ 40.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$862	95.8¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Politics	No	$567	94.6¢
Heat vs. Magic	—	Heat	$338	50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$190	38.0¢
Pistons vs. Lakers	—	Lakers	$132	44.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$120	60.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	—	Up	$116	77.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	—	Down	$110	95.9¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	—	Yes	$108	5.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	—	Down	$100	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	—	Up	$100	81.5¢
Michigan vs. Northwestern	—	Northwestern	$100	56.0¢
Wizards vs. Spurs	—	Wizards	$99	11.0¢
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers	—	Northwestern Wildcats	$85	17.0¢
Troy vs. James Madison	—	Troy	$75	4.0¢
Texas vs. Ohio State	—	Texas	$47	47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	—	Up	$40	83.5¢
Alabama vs. Florida State	—	Alabama	$38	26.0¢
Northwestern vs. Tulane	—	Northwestern	$36	36.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?	—	Yes	$31	22.0¢
Buccaneers vs. Rams	—	Buccaneers	$20	25.0¢
Jets vs. Ravens	—	Jets	$20	11.0¢
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes	—	Duquesne Dukes	$13	18.0¢
Tulane vs. Ole Miss	—	Tulane	$0	11.0¢

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$862 @ 95.8¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
No$567 @ 94.6¢
Heat vs. Magic—
Heat$338 @ 50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$190 @ 38.0¢
Pistons vs. Lakers—
Lakers$132 @ 44.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET—
Up$116 @ 77.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET—
Down$110 @ 95.9¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?—
Yes$108 @ 5.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET—
Down$100 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET—
Up$100 @ 81.5¢
Michigan vs. Northwestern—
Northwestern$100 @ 56.0¢
Wizards vs. Spurs—
Wizards$99 @ 11.0¢
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers—
Northwestern Wildcats$85 @ 17.0¢
Troy vs. James Madison—
Troy$75 @ 4.0¢
Texas vs. Ohio State—
Texas$47 @ 47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET—
Up$40 @ 83.5¢
Alabama vs. Florida State—
Alabama$38 @ 26.0¢
Northwestern vs. Tulane—
Northwestern$36 @ 36.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?—
Yes$31 @ 22.0¢
Buccaneers vs. Rams—
Buccaneers$20 @ 25.0¢
Jets vs. Ravens—
Jets$20 @ 11.0¢
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes—
Duquesne Dukes$13 @ 18.0¢
Tulane vs. Ole Miss—
Tulane$0 @ 11.0¢