0x99dd…4303

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x99dd407b80e45874638d783f54b0d8c097544303
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.6pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

71% @ 57.7¢

Brier

0.035

Resolved

146

Avg size

$188

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (13/19)	+19%	19
Politics	75% (3/4)	+18%	4
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other19 bets
Hit rate
68% (13/19)
ROI
+19%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

71% hit · 17/24

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$13.8k	87.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	No	$18	6.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$707	71.3¢	Won
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	$303	89.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$5.8k	72.8¢	Won
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?	No	$65	85.4¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$599	4.0¢	Lost
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	$780	78.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?	Yes	$3	1.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	No	$698	87.3¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?	No	$525	87.5¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$12	0.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$2.1k	88.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$729	81.0¢	Won
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	$445	89.0¢	Won
Zelensky resigns in 2025?	Yes	$8	1.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$486	54.0¢	Won

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$13.8k @ 87.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Lost
No$18 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$707 @ 71.3¢
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Won
No$303 @ 89.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$5.8k @ 72.8¢
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Won
No$65 @ 85.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$599 @ 4.0¢
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Won
No$780 @ 78.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Won
No$698 @ 87.3¢
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Won
No$525 @ 87.5¢
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 88.8¢
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$729 @ 81.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Won
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Zelensky resigns in 2025?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.7¢
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$486 @ 54.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$85.1k	86.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$6.4k	92.1¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$85.1k @ 86.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$6.4k @ 92.1¢