0x99c4…0c89

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x99c4f423fd680fde2703619dfa51128866cb0c89
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.7pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

22% @ 18.0¢

Brier

0.121

Resolved

1280

Avg size

$28

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (78/223)	+17%	223
Sports	26% (32/125)	+16%	125
Politics	40% (2/5)	+17%	5
Tech	25% (1/4)	-7%	4
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+19%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other223 bets
Hit rate
35% (78/223)
ROI
+17%
Sports125 bets
Hit rate
26% (32/125)
ROI
+16%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+17%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-7%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 114/360

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$102	21.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$33	8.7¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$610	22.6¢	Lost
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$53	45.0¢	Won
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	NRG	$60	58.0¢	Lost
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$51	39.8¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$10	39.0¢	Won
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	$5	4.4¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	$148	55.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 3 - 0 AS Roma?	Yes	$19	1.3¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	$50	52.9¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$51	41.0¢	Won
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Lost
Will Inter win Coppa Italia?	Yes	$202	73.8¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$53	1.8¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Knicks	Celtics	$40	36.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$114	46.1¢	Won
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	$103	11.0¢	Lost
Will Jared McCain win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$16	14.0¢	Lost
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?	No	$72	35.0¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$25	51.0¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$39	81.8¢	Won
Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	$60	55.0¢	Won
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	Indiana Fever	$81	54.1¢	Lost
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries	Phoenix Mercury	$10	24.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$10	13.3¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$1.1k	14.8¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$147	33.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	$222	39.0¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	$112	26.0¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	$35	53.0¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$75	27.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Charles Jourdain	$58	56.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$141	87.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$200	59.0¢	Won
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$97	28.0¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$603	54.5¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$103	30.4¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	$102	29.0¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$19	37.9¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	$48	49.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$288	0.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$340	39.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$158	46.9¢	Lost
Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	$133	50.8¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$128	28.9¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$19	16.0¢	Lost

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 21.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$33 @ 8.7¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$610 @ 22.6¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$53 @ 45.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaLost
NRG$60 @ 58.0¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Won
Yes$51 @ 39.8¢
Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$10 @ 39.0¢
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.4¢
Hurricanes vs. SenatorsWon
Hurricanes$148 @ 55.4¢
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 3 - 0 AS Roma?Lost
Yes$19 @ 1.3¢
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Won
Lakers$50 @ 52.9¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$51 @ 41.0¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Lost
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will Inter win Coppa Italia?Won
Yes$202 @ 73.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$53 @ 1.8¢
Celtics vs. KnicksLost
Celtics$40 @ 36.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$114 @ 46.1¢
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Lost
Yes$103 @ 11.0¢
Will Jared McCain win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 14.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?Lost
No$72 @ 35.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$25 @ 51.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Won
Yes$39 @ 81.8¢
Avalanche vs. KingsWon
Avalanche$60 @ 55.0¢
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana FeverLost
Indiana Fever$81 @ 54.1¢
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State ValkyriesLost
Phoenix Mercury$10 @ 24.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.3¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 14.8¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$147 @ 33.0¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksLost
Patriots$222 @ 39.0¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
Yes$112 @ 26.0¢
Golden Knights vs. DucksLost
Ducks$35 @ 53.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
Lakers$75 @ 27.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Charles Jourdain$58 @ 56.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$141 @ 87.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$200 @ 59.0¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?Lost
Yes$97 @ 28.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$603 @ 54.5¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$103 @ 30.4¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Won
Yes$102 @ 29.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 37.9¢
Golden Knights vs. UtahLost
Utah$48 @ 49.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$288 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$340 @ 39.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$158 @ 46.9¢
Penguins vs. FlyersLost
Penguins$133 @ 50.8¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$128 @ 28.9¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$19 @ 16.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Sports	Yes	$280	8.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.0¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.0¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.0¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.0¢
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.0¢

Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Sports
Yes$280 @ 8.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢