← Smart money
0x9950…6d78
ProfitableEdge
+28.3pp
ROI
+101%
Win rate
57% @ 28.3¢
Brier
0.190
Resolved
30
Avg size
$30
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 33% (2/6) | +105% | 6 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +105%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
29% hit · 2/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | $56 | 11.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | $69 | 7.2¢ | Lost |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Yes | $594 | 36.5¢ | Won |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | $4 | 2.2¢ | Lost |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 22? | Yes | $20 | 3.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? | No | $6 | 5.9¢ | Lost |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | Yes | $160 | 80.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$56 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$69 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$594 @ 36.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.0¢
- No$6 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$184 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 39.3¢
- Yes$135 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$75 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.6¢
- No$7 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
- No$5 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢