0x993f…3ee3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x993f451b6d5c21996b1bf688493cea9c4c823ee3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.9pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

70% @ 59.0¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

3881

Avg size

$265

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (229/412)	+7%	412
Sports	63% (41/65)	+6%	65
Crypto	67% (12/18)	+53%	18
Tech	58% (7/12)	+7%	12
Politics	88% (7/8)	+14%	8
Culture	50% (1/2)	+18%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+14%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other412 bets
Hit rate
56% (229/412)
ROI
+7%
Sports65 bets
Hit rate
63% (41/65)
ROI
+6%
Crypto18 bets
Hit rate
67% (12/18)
ROI
+53%
Tech12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+7%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+14%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

57% hit · 298/519

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?	Yes	$551	59.0¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$65	6.5¢	Lost
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	No	$7.4k	77.3¢	Won
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?	No	$70	70.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$1.4k	67.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$511	24.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7.1k	70.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$1.0k	60.0¢	Lost
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$2.6k	86.1¢	Won
No airdrop in 2025?	No	$1.5k	61.4¢	Won
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$585	11.7¢	Lost
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$1.5k	74.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$620	62.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$1.0k	24.5¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$931	74.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$1.0k	63.0¢	Won
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	$1.6k	79.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?	Yes	$1.4k	64.8¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$4.0k	80.0¢	Won
Will Kimmel say "Orange" during return show on September 23?	No	$84	80.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?	Yes	$335	67.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$4.0k	80.0¢	Won
Circle IPO in 2025?	Yes	$2.0k	67.1¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$1.1k	39.0¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$88	35.0¢	Lost
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?	Yes	$620	31.0¢	Lost
Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?	No	$102	61.8¢	Won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5	Under	$3.0k	61.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$402	73.2¢	Won
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$82	8.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Monday news conference?	No	$19	72.8¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$2.7k	53.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 24?	Yes	$108	87.5¢	Won
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	$600	30.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$1.7k	83.0¢	Won
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Shevchenko	$500	56.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	Yes	$305	61.0¢	Lost
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?	No	$750	75.0¢	Won
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?	Yes	$1.0k	42.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?	Yes	$210	21.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5	Under	$1.0k	61.9¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?	No	$832	70.1¢	Won
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	11.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	$1.0k	63.0¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$2.6k	59.0¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?	No	$590	59.0¢	Lost
Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?	No	$1.8k	88.8¢	Won
Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$1.2k	58.0¢	Won
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$1.0k	30.0¢	Lost

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?Lost
Yes$551 @ 59.0¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Lost
Yes$65 @ 6.5¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Won
No$7.4k @ 77.3¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?Lost
No$70 @ 70.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 67.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$511 @ 24.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$7.1k @ 70.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 60.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
No$2.6k @ 86.1¢
No airdrop in 2025?Won
No$1.5k @ 61.4¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$585 @ 11.7¢
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
No$1.5k @ 74.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$620 @ 62.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$1.0k @ 24.5¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$931 @ 74.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 63.0¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
No$1.6k @ 79.0¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 64.8¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 80.0¢
Will Kimmel say "Orange" during return show on September 23?Won
No$84 @ 80.0¢
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?Won
Yes$335 @ 67.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$4.0k @ 80.0¢
Circle IPO in 2025?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 67.1¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
No$1.1k @ 39.0¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$88 @ 35.0¢
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?Lost
Yes$620 @ 31.0¢
Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?Won
No$102 @ 61.8¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Won
Under$3.0k @ 61.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$402 @ 73.2¢
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$82 @ 8.2¢
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Monday news conference?Won
No$19 @ 72.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$2.7k @ 53.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 24?Won
Yes$108 @ 87.5¢
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$600 @ 30.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$1.7k @ 83.0¢
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Shevchenko$500 @ 56.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Lost
Yes$305 @ 61.0¢
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Won
No$750 @ 75.0¢
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 42.0¢
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?Lost
Yes$210 @ 21.0¢
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Won
Under$1.0k @ 61.9¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Won
No$832 @ 70.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 11.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Won
Colombia$1.0k @ 63.0¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
No$2.6k @ 59.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?Lost
No$590 @ 59.0¢
Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?Won
No$1.8k @ 88.8¢
Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$24.6k	51.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$16.7k	83.5¢
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$14.2k	66.2¢
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$5.0k	60.4¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$3.6k	66.6¢
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2.5k	70.6¢
No one announced as next James Bond?	Culture	Yes	$2.3k	23.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$836	22.5¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Culture	No	$749	74.9¢
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$520	69.2¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$446	72.9¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Crypto	No	$444	75.7¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Tech	OpenAI	$369	20.4¢
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$129	59.7¢
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	Crypto	No	$126	78.7¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$20	62.0¢

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto
Yes$24.6k @ 51.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$16.7k @ 83.5¢
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$14.2k @ 66.2¢
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?Crypto
Yes$5.0k @ 60.4¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$3.6k @ 66.6¢
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$2.5k @ 70.6¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture
Yes$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$836 @ 22.5¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture
No$749 @ 74.9¢
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$520 @ 69.2¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto
No$446 @ 72.9¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Crypto
No$444 @ 75.7¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech
OpenAI$369 @ 20.4¢
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$129 @ 59.7¢
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Crypto
No$126 @ 78.7¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$20 @ 62.0¢