← Smart money
0x993c…6787
ProfitableEdge
+51.2pp
ROI
+118%
Win rate
91% @ 39.4¢
Brier
0.357
Resolved
288
Avg size
$178
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (5/5) | +144% | 5 |
| Other | 40% (2/5) | +11% | 5 |
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (5/5)
- ROI
- +144%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +11%
Track record
70% hit · 7/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | No | $8.6k | 83.1¢ | Won |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | $547 | 10.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? | Yes | $2.5k | 47.8¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $4.5k | 23.5¢ | Won |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | $2.7k | 88.8¢ | Won |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | Yes | $34 | 3.2¢ | Lost |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $31.2k | 43.1¢ | Won |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | $160 | 8.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Yes | $841 | 83.6¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026? | Yes | $330 | 33.0¢ | Won |
- No$8.6k @ 83.1¢
- Yes$547 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 47.8¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 23.5¢
- No$2.7k @ 88.8¢
- Yes$34 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$31.2k @ 43.1¢
- Yes$160 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$841 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$34.4k @ 90.5¢
- No$10.6k @ 80.3¢
- No$9.0k @ 74.7¢
- No$7.6k @ 95.2¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 36.9¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 44.3¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 85.8¢
- No$3.6k @ 89.6¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?GeopoliticsNo$3.3k @ 83.2¢
- No$2.4k @ 47.7¢
- No$1.9k @ 96.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 38.3¢
- No$1.9k @ 76.3¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 40.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 8.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 55.2¢
- No$877 @ 87.7¢
- Yes$820 @ 41.0¢
- No$705 @ 70.5¢
- No$699 @ 69.9¢
- No$622 @ 62.2¢
- Yes$579 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$518 @ 25.9¢
- Yes$508 @ 12.7¢
- No$448 @ 74.6¢
- No$410 @ 82.0¢
- No$365 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$266 @ 26.6¢
- No$257 @ 64.2¢
- Yes$250 @ 41.7¢