0x98d1…ed25

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x98d13dfa17ade5cc64d75a409bc3d1150ba6ed25
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.3pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

70% @ 51.9¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

Avg size

$92

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Geopolitics	75% (9/12)	+35%	12
Other	38% (3/8)	-1%	8
Politics	100% (4/4)	+47%	4
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Geopolitics12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+35%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
-1%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+47%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

64% hit · 16/25

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	$200	48.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	No	$280	63.3¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	$679	52.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$213	29.5¢	Won
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	No	$299	73.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	$38	12.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	$156	54.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?	No	$1.8k	74.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	$22	75.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	No	$939	75.7¢	Won
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	$195	25.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	Yes	$30	10.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	$139	72.5¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$337	70.7¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	$133	76.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?	Yes	$10	3.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?	No	$75	87.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?	Yes	$520	63.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	No	$288	61.2¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?	No	$927	84.8¢	Won
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?	No	$295	68.9¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	$120	23.6¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?	No	$50	35.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Natus Vincere	$111	51.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?	No	$102	78.0¢	Won

Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Won
Yes$200 @ 48.9¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Lost
No$280 @ 63.3¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
No$679 @ 52.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$213 @ 29.5¢
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?Won
No$299 @ 73.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Lost
Yes$38 @ 12.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?Won
No$156 @ 54.7¢
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Won
No$1.8k @ 74.0¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?Won
No$22 @ 75.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Won
No$939 @ 75.7¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$195 @ 25.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Won
Yes$30 @ 10.5¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?Won
No$139 @ 72.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$337 @ 70.7¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Won
No$133 @ 76.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.7¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?Won
Yes$520 @ 63.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?Lost
No$288 @ 61.2¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?Won
No$927 @ 84.8¢
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?Lost
No$295 @ 68.9¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Lost
No$120 @ 23.6¢
Will Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?Lost
No$50 @ 35.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
Natus Vincere$111 @ 51.1¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?Won
No$102 @ 78.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1.2k	45.8¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$568	73.7¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$299	55.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$82	31.9¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$41	31.0¢

Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$1.2k @ 45.8¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$568 @ 73.7¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$299 @ 55.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$82 @ 31.9¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$41 @ 31.0¢