0x9892…fd59

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9892ef52593bf4407e1ffcea509516bafa53fd59
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

48% @ 41.3¢

Brier

0.194

Resolved

289

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	50% (92/185)	+42%	185
Other	53% (41/78)	+3%	78
Politics	54% (13/24)	-7%	24
Science	50% (4/8)	-43%	8
Business	67% (2/3)	-16%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+25%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Sports185 bets
Hit rate
50% (92/185)
ROI
+42%
Other78 bets
Hit rate
53% (41/78)
ROI
+3%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
54% (13/24)
ROI
-7%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
-43%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-16%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+25%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Track record

51% hit · 154/303

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
IR Iran leading at halftime?	Yes	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$15	87.7¢	Won
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	$5	42.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$15	48.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	$5	52.0¢	Won
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider	Nikola Bartunkova	$5	18.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$5	35.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$5	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	$10	7.4¢	Lost
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	$5	46.0¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$5	19.0¢	Lost
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	$5	82.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	$5	56.0¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$15	79.0¢	Won
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Over	$16	84.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Team Falcons	$5	79.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	$5	22.0¢	Won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5	Under	$15	50.0¢	Won
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchova	Shuai Zhang	$5	30.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	$25	18.0¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	$5	4.7¢	Lost
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt	Mattia Bellucci	$5	62.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Luana Santos	$3	53.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	MOUZ	$5	55.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5	Under	$5	31.0¢	Lost
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$14	1.5¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	No	$15	89.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Vici Gaming	$5	53.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$15	69.0¢	Won
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur	Damir Dzumhur	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5	Under	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Legacy	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	26.0¢	Won
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs	James McCabe	$5	32.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$5	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 7?	No	$5	88.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Natus Vincere	$5	71.0¢	Won
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5	Under	$17	25.5¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$41	2.8¢	Lost
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova	Darja Vidmanova	$5	28.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$25	48.3¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	No	$15	81.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$5	62.5¢	Won
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	Monte	$5	49.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	BetBoom Team	$5	46.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	FUT Esports	$5	55.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$5	55.0¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	No	$15	59.0¢	Won

IR Iran leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$15 @ 87.7¢
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesLost
Colorado Rockies$5 @ 42.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$15 @ 48.0¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerWon
FUT Esports$5 @ 52.0¢
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana ShnaiderWon
Nikola Bartunkova$5 @ 18.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$5 @ 35.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$5 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.4¢
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor FritzWon
Taylor Fritz$5 @ 46.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu LiWon
Zongyu Li$5 @ 82.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerWon
FURIA$5 @ 56.0¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
No$15 @ 79.0¢
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Won
Over$16 @ 84.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
Team Falcons$5 @ 79.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerWon
BetBoom Team$5 @ 22.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Won
Under$15 @ 50.0¢
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina MuchovaLost
Shuai Zhang$5 @ 30.0¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$25 @ 18.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex BoltWon
Mattia Bellucci$5 @ 62.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Won
Luana Santos$3 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
MOUZ$5 @ 55.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$5 @ 31.0¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$14 @ 1.5¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Won
No$15 @ 89.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Vici Gaming$5 @ 53.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$15 @ 69.0¢
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir DzumhurLost
Damir Dzumhur$5 @ 52.0¢
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Lost
Under$5 @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
Legacy$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$5 @ 26.0¢
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou BergsWon
James McCabe$5 @ 32.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$5 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 7?Won
No$5 @ 88.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
Natus Vincere$5 @ 71.0¢
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$17 @ 25.5¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$41 @ 2.8¢
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja VidmanovaLost
Darja Vidmanova$5 @ 28.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$25 @ 48.3¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Won
No$15 @ 81.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$5 @ 62.5¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Won
Monte$5 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
BetBoom Team$5 @ 46.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
FUT Esports$5 @ 55.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerLost
Spirit$5 @ 55.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$15 @ 59.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$60	18.8¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	—	Tunisia	$20	25.0¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?	—	No	$20	95.6¢
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?	—	No	$20	92.0¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?	—	No	$20	92.0¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Netherlands?	—	No	$20	95.0¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Netherlands?	—	No	$20	87.0¢
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?	—	No	$20	95.4¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?	—	No	$20	95.3¢
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?	—	No	$20	91.0¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?	—	No	$20	91.0¢
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?	—	No	$20	90.0¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Sports	No	$20	81.8¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	—	Under	$20	68.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	—	Under	$20	55.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	—	Tunisia	$20	49.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	—	Under	$20	44.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Sports	No	$20	34.8¢
Netherlands leading at halftime?	—	No	$20	31.0¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)	—	Ecuador	$20	1.3¢
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?	Sports	Yes	$15	60.0¢
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$15	2.6¢
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$15	0.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$13	1.5¢
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$10	60.0¢
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	69.0¢
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$10	46.1¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$10	51.0¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$10	48.0¢
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$10	38.0¢

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$60 @ 18.8¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)—
Tunisia$20 @ 25.0¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?—
No$20 @ 95.6¢
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?—
No$20 @ 92.0¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?—
No$20 @ 92.0¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Netherlands?—
No$20 @ 95.0¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Netherlands?—
No$20 @ 87.0¢
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?—
No$20 @ 95.4¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?—
No$20 @ 95.3¢
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?—
No$20 @ 91.0¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?—
No$20 @ 91.0¢
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?—
No$20 @ 90.0¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Sports
No$20 @ 81.8¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Corners—
Under$20 @ 68.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Corners—
Under$20 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)—
Tunisia$20 @ 49.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Corners—
Under$20 @ 44.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports
No$20 @ 34.8¢
Netherlands leading at halftime?—
No$20 @ 31.0¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)—
Ecuador$20 @ 1.3¢
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?Sports
Yes$15 @ 60.0¢
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$15 @ 2.6¢
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$13 @ 1.5¢
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$10 @ 60.0¢
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 69.0¢
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$10 @ 46.1¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$10 @ 38.0¢