0x9882…d3bd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9882c8980665f53a87e1b47126af4add5c61d3bd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.7pp

ROI

+60%

Win rate

59% @ 42.1¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

Avg size

$193

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (30/53)	+59%	53
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+2%	1

Other53 bets
Hit rate
57% (30/53)
ROI
+59%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+2%

Track record

57% hit · 31/54

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Ethereum above $4500 on August 22?	No	$41	92.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$91	91.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	$39	98.3¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Lost
Vikings vs. Lions	Lions	$2.0k	81.0¢	Lost
Devils vs. Sharks	Sharks	$527	34.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $4600 on August 27?	Yes	$12	49.0¢	Won
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?	Yes	$19	64.0¢	Lost
Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	$480	60.0¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$14	27.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 27?	Yes	$18	71.0¢	Won
Georgescu banned from Romania election?	Yes	$7	45.0¢	Won
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?	No	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?	No	$17	83.0¢	Won
Solana above $130 on March 28?	No	$4	12.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$1.0k	69.7¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Clippers	Pelicans	$558	18.0¢	Lost
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$8	14.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Timberwolves	Lakers	$1.2k	29.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?	No	$6	33.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on September 3?	No	$42	70.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	No	$6	5.0¢	Lost
Islanders vs. Capitals	Islanders	$941	33.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?	Yes	$12	14.7¢	Lost
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Lost
Solana above $225 on December 20?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$1.9k	86.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	$39	87.4¢	Won
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?	Yes	$7	49.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	$533	13.0¢	Won
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?	No	$24	79.0¢	Won
Kings vs. Thunder	Thunder	$1.1k	81.0¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	$16	73.0¢	Won
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Ravens vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	$770	22.0¢	Lost
Bears vs. Bengals	Bears	$1.2k	58.0¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before February?	Yes	$4	15.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)	Top Esports	$1.1k	26.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Trail Blazers	$590	59.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $4200 on September 3?	No	$9	18.0¢	Lost
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	$41	81.0¢	Lost
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	No	$14	85.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4?	Yes	$36	75.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 22?	No	$17	48.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$27	89.0¢	Won
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?	Yes	$20	78.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$49	81.0¢	Won

Ethereum above $4500 on August 22?Lost
No$41 @ 92.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$91 @ 91.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Won
No$39 @ 98.3¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Vikings vs. LionsLost
Lions$2.0k @ 81.0¢
Devils vs. SharksWon
Sharks$527 @ 34.0¢
Ethereum above $4600 on August 27?Won
Yes$12 @ 49.0¢
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?Lost
Yes$19 @ 64.0¢
Penguins vs. FlyersWon
Flyers$480 @ 60.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$14 @ 27.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 27?Won
Yes$18 @ 71.0¢
Georgescu banned from Romania election?Won
Yes$7 @ 45.0¢
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Lost
No$3 @ 17.0¢
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?Won
No$17 @ 83.0¢
Solana above $130 on March 28?Won
No$4 @ 12.0¢
Pacers vs. MavericksWon
Mavericks$1.0k @ 69.7¢
Pelicans vs. ClippersLost
Pelicans$558 @ 18.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
Lakers vs. TimberwolvesWon
Lakers$1.2k @ 29.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Lost
No$6 @ 33.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on September 3?Won
No$42 @ 70.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Lost
No$6 @ 5.0¢
Islanders vs. CapitalsWon
Islanders$941 @ 33.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?Lost
Yes$12 @ 14.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Solana above $225 on December 20?Lost
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Pelicans vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$1.9k @ 86.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$39 @ 87.4¢
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?Lost
Yes$7 @ 49.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Panthers vs. PackersWon
Panthers$533 @ 13.0¢
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Won
No$24 @ 79.0¢
Kings vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$1.1k @ 81.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Won
No$16 @ 73.0¢
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Ravens vs. DolphinsLost
Dolphins$770 @ 22.0¢
Bears vs. BengalsWon
Bears$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before February?Lost
Yes$4 @ 15.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)Lost
Top Esports$1.1k @ 26.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. JazzWon
Trail Blazers$590 @ 59.0¢
Ethereum above $4200 on September 3?Lost
No$9 @ 18.0¢
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Lost
Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Won
No$14 @ 85.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4?Won
Yes$36 @ 75.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 22?Won
No$17 @ 48.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$27 @ 89.0¢
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Won
Yes$20 @ 78.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$49 @ 81.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Vikings vs. Lions	—	Lions	$2.0k	81.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)	—	Top Esports	$1.1k	26.0¢
Ravens vs. Dolphins	—	Dolphins	$770	22.0¢
Pelicans vs. Clippers	—	Pelicans	$558	18.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	—	No	$91	91.0¢
Ethereum above $4500 on August 22?	—	No	$41	92.0¢
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	—	Yes	$41	81.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$29	98.1¢
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?	—	Yes	$19	64.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?	—	Yes	$12	14.7¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	—	Yes	$10	22.0¢
Ethereum above $4200 on September 3?	—	No	$9	18.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?	—	Yes	$8	14.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	—	No	$6	5.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	—	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?	—	No	$6	33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	—	Yes	$4	1.9¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	—	Yes	$3	14.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	—	Yes	$3	2.7¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	5.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	6.0¢

Vikings vs. Lions—
Lions$2.0k @ 81.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)—
Top Esports$1.1k @ 26.0¢
Ravens vs. Dolphins—
Dolphins$770 @ 22.0¢
Pelicans vs. Clippers—
Pelicans$558 @ 18.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?—
No$91 @ 91.0¢
Ethereum above $4500 on August 22?—
No$41 @ 92.0¢
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?—
Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$29 @ 98.1¢
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?—
Yes$19 @ 64.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?—
Yes$12 @ 14.7¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?—
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Ethereum above $4200 on September 3?—
No$9 @ 18.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?—
Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?—
No$6 @ 5.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?—
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?—
No$6 @ 33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?—
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?—
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?—
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢