← Smart money
0x9810…74ba
SharpEdge
-14.6pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
16% @ 30.8¢
Brier
0.186
Resolved
80
Avg size
$454
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 28% (5/18) | -0% | 18 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +63% | 2 |
- Other18 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (5/18)
- ROI
- -0%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +63%
Track record
30% hit · 6/20- Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 60.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 18.9¢
- Yes$676 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$464 @ 17.6¢
- No$6.8k @ 57.6¢
- No$96 @ 61.3¢
- No$168 @ 2.5¢
- No$509 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$519 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$106 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$435 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$331 @ 69.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$10.7k @ 46.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $870 | 12.3¢ |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $821 | 4.6¢ |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $618 | 1.2¢ |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $321 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $192 | 2.4¢ |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $167 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $108 | 1.3¢ |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $63 | 1.9¢ |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Culture | Yes | $28 | 15.0¢ |
- Yes$870 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$821 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$618 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$321 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$192 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$167 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$108 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$63 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$28 @ 15.0¢