← Smart money
0x97d3…3f3c
SharpEdge
+8.3pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
70% @ 61.6¢
Brier
0.129
Resolved
2297
Avg size
$47
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 69% (68/98) | +24% | 98 |
| Other | 63% (57/91) | +6% | 91 |
| Geopolitics | 70% (14/20) | -18% | 20 |
| Culture | 100% (7/7) | +12% | 7 |
- Politics98 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (68/98)
- ROI
- +24%
- Other91 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (57/91)
- ROI
- +6%
- Geopolitics20 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (14/20)
- ROI
- -18%
- Culture7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
68% hit · 146/216- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- No$96 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$217 @ 69.9¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
- No$210 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$309 @ 57.9¢
- No$23 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$302 @ 75.5¢
- No$12 @ 5.9¢
- No$24 @ 95.3¢
- No$199 @ 83.8¢
- No$43 @ 85.0¢
- No$125 @ 89.0¢
- No$178 @ 89.0¢
- No$18 @ 91.0¢
- No$128 @ 90.8¢
- No$77 @ 86.0¢
- No$170 @ 88.1¢
- No$90 @ 90.0¢
- No$96 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$126 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 52.0¢
- No$427 @ 63.5¢
- No$473 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$54 @ 27.0¢
- No$212 @ 58.0¢
- No$134 @ 89.0¢
- No$178 @ 92.0¢
- No$153 @ 94.9¢
- No$61 @ 97.1¢
- No$47 @ 93.2¢
- No$357 @ 91.4¢
- No$138 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$357 @ 85.4¢
- No$172 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 67.5¢
- Yes$32 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 75.2¢
- No$40 @ 85.0¢
- No$292 @ 86.2¢
- No$3.0k @ 60.9¢
- No$176 @ 87.8¢
- Yes$116 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- No$15 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$155 @ 27.4¢
- No$10 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$646 @ 43.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$1.2k @ 89.5¢
- No$349 @ 83.3¢
- No$302 @ 85.4¢
- No$258 @ 82.2¢
- No$239 @ 90.3¢
- No$232 @ 86.3¢
- No$207 @ 88.7¢
- Yes$204 @ 51.0¢
- No$202 @ 83.4¢
- No$180 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$129 @ 92.5¢
- No$117 @ 84.9¢
- No$117 @ 90.2¢
- Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?PoliticsNo$108 @ 71.9¢
- No$101 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$84 @ 55.7¢
- No$83 @ 91.0¢
- No$62 @ 89.0¢
- No$58 @ 92.8¢
- Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
- No$50 @ 93.0¢
- No$27 @ 91.0¢
- No$23 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 3.8¢