0x975d…01be

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x975dfcf6d2d8268f563c693fc748ae58876f01be
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.8pp

ROI

+92%

Win rate

5% @ 2.0¢

Brier

0.028

Resolved

2766

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	10% (6/59)	-10%	59
Crypto	25% (3/12)	+5%	12
Tech	91% (10/11)	+250%	11
Politics	38% (3/8)	+51%	8
Sports	100% (1/1)	+614%	1
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other59 bets
Hit rate
10% (6/59)
ROI
-10%
Crypto12 bets
Hit rate
25% (3/12)
ROI
+5%
Tech11 bets
Hit rate
91% (10/11)
ROI
+250%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
+51%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+614%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

25% hit · 23/93

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	Yes	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	No	$90	2.3¢	Lost
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?	No	$12	3.2¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?	Yes	$17	0.1¢	Lost
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$8	10.0¢	Lost
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	$71	34.2¢	Won
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$12	59.0¢	Won
Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$2	4.2¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?	Yes	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Won
Will Ras Baraka win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be no coalition by October 31?	Yes	$149	3.1¢	Lost
Will Josh Gottheimer win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Lost
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	$46	16.1¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?	Yes	$36	0.1¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?	Yes	$18	3.5¢	Lost
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?	Yes	$48	34.5¢	Won
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$18	7.8¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	No	$7	7.9¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$4	3.3¢	Lost
Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	$4	1.7¢	Lost
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$21	31.8¢	Lost
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by December 31?	Yes	$122	38.4¢	Won
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?	Yes	$12	7.0¢	Lost
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?	No	$12	1.2¢	Lost
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?	Yes	$6	31.0¢	Lost
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?	Yes	$75	41.5¢	Won
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?	Yes	$38	1.3¢	Lost
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	$11	28.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?	Yes	$47	8.5¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?	No	$17	0.7¢	Lost
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	$10	5.1¢	Won
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$70	6.6¢	Lost
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?	No	$26	1.0¢	Lost
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	$69	27.2¢	Won
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	$35	9.7¢	Lost
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	$17	16.7¢	Won
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?	Yes	$63	2.4¢	Lost
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost

Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Lost
No$90 @ 2.3¢
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?Lost
No$12 @ 3.2¢
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.1¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 10.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Won
Yes$71 @ 34.2¢
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
Yes$12 @ 59.0¢
Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.2¢
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Won
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Ras Baraka win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
Will there be no coalition by October 31?Lost
Yes$149 @ 3.1¢
Will Josh Gottheimer win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?Lost
Yes$46 @ 16.1¢
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?Lost
Yes$36 @ 0.1¢
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Lost
Yes$18 @ 3.5¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?Won
Yes$48 @ 34.5¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$18 @ 7.8¢
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 7.9¢
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.3¢
Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$21 @ 31.8¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by December 31?Won
Yes$122 @ 38.4¢
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025? Lost
Yes$12 @ 7.0¢
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?Lost
No$12 @ 1.2¢
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?Lost
Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?Won
Yes$75 @ 41.5¢
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?Lost
Yes$38 @ 1.3¢
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Won
Yes$11 @ 28.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?Lost
Yes$47 @ 8.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?Lost
No$17 @ 0.7¢
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 5.1¢
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$70 @ 6.6¢
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?Lost
No$26 @ 1.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?Won
Yes$69 @ 27.2¢
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 9.7¢
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Won
Yes$17 @ 16.7¢
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?Lost
Yes$63 @ 2.4¢
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$15	14.5¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$14	7.0¢
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$13	8.8¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$13	13.1¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$13	13.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$12	5.9¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$11	7.3¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$10	9.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$10	9.4¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$9	8.8¢
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	—	No	$8	7.5¢
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$7	7.3¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$7	12.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Other	Yes	$6	5.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$6	5.7¢
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$5	3.0¢
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$4	7.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$4	4.7¢
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3	5.0¢
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3	5.3¢

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Other
Yes$15 @ 14.5¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Tech
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$13 @ 8.8¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
Yes$13 @ 13.1¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31?Other
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Tech
Yes$12 @ 5.9¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?Other
Yes$11 @ 7.3¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?Other
Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Tech
Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Tech
Yes$9 @ 8.8¢
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?—
No$8 @ 7.5¢
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$7 @ 7.3¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$7 @ 12.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Other
Yes$6 @ 5.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$6 @ 5.7¢
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Other
Yes$4 @ 4.7¢
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢