← Smart money
0x9728…e944
ProfitableEdge
+21.0pp
ROI
+119%
Win rate
65% @ 43.9¢
Brier
0.346
Resolved
237
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 42% (31/74) | +74% | 74 |
| Other | 59% (41/69) | -6% | 69 |
| Science | 86% (6/7) | +198% | 7 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -66% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +101% | 1 |
- Sports74 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (31/74)
- ROI
- +74%
- Other69 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (41/69)
- ROI
- -6%
- Science7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +198%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -66%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +101%
Track record
52% hit · 80/153- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- No$1 @ 80.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.1¢
- Atlanta Dream$1 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 5.7¢
- No$2 @ 99.5¢
- No$2 @ 97.0¢
- No$2 @ 97.0¢
- France$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$2 @ 81.0¢
- New York Yankees$2 @ 61.0¢
- Cabo Verde$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
- No$2 @ 94.0¢
- Under$1 @ 88.0¢
- Over$1 @ 17.0¢
- Croatia$3 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- Over$1 @ 50.0¢
- T1$4 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- Austria$6 @ 13.0¢
- No$2 @ 97.0¢
- No$2 @ 83.0¢
- G2 Esports$1 @ 22.0¢
- Over$1 @ 56.0¢
- Over$1 @ 42.0¢
- Over$1 @ 58.0¢
- No$1 @ 99.8¢
- No$1 @ 99.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.6¢
- No$1 @ 99.9¢
- No$1 @ 99.9¢
- No$1 @ 99.8¢
- Over$2 @ 19.0¢
- Under$1 @ 83.0¢
- No$2 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$2 @ 43.0¢
- No$4 @ 74.0¢
- No$1 @ 99.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- Colombia$1 @ 37.0¢
- No$2 @ 99.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | Politics | No | $2 | 6.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | — | Yes | $1 | 28.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | — | Yes | $1 | 20.0¢ |
- No$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢