0x96e6…8623

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x96e62a298fcb7ade69487b2ac4b1da8a799d8623
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

59% @ 52.2¢

Brier

0.163

Resolved

404

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (32/70)	-11%	70
Politics	49% (18/37)	+44%	37
Sports	42% (11/26)	-25%	26
Geopolitics	73% (8/11)	+22%	11
Tech	25% (1/4)	-51%	4
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other70 bets
Hit rate
46% (32/70)
ROI
-11%
Politics37 bets
Hit rate
49% (18/37)
ROI
+44%
Sports26 bets
Hit rate
42% (11/26)
ROI
-25%
Geopolitics11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+22%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-51%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

48% hit · 71/149

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	No	$8	53.1¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	$1	45.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	9z	$4	71.0¢	Won
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$173	72.7¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Monte	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$4	20.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	77.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$33	17.6¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?	Yes	$10	45.3¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$35	70.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Won
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	No	$1	68.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?	Yes	$6	37.0¢	Won
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$9	87.0¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$26	87.3¢	Won
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	$5	32.3¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$6	78.3¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$6	67.3¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$5	9.7¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	$1	48.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	$50	84.4¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$29	76.5¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova	Liudmila Samsonova	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?	No	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Jets vs. Canucks	Canucks	$10	46.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$9	87.0¢	Won
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	$29	64.3¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	No	$4	77.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$12	14.3¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$5	34.7¢	Won
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$3	88.2¢	Won
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$105	80.5¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$1	77.0¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$4	39.0¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$6	42.1¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	$45	52.4¢	Won
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$55	78.6¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$18	88.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$5	69.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$4	67.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$30	59.7¢	Lost
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?	No	$1	81.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$47	78.0¢	Won

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Lost
No$8 @ 53.1¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Won
No$1 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
9z$4 @ 71.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
No$173 @ 72.7¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
Monte$2 @ 18.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 20.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 77.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 17.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?Lost
Yes$10 @ 45.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$35 @ 70.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Won
No$1 @ 68.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?Won
Yes$6 @ 37.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$9 @ 87.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Won
Yes$26 @ 87.3¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Lost
No$5 @ 32.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$6 @ 78.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$6 @ 67.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.7¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Lost
BetBoom Team$1 @ 48.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Won
Yes$50 @ 84.4¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
No$29 @ 76.5¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia PotapovaLost
Liudmila Samsonova$4 @ 37.0¢
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?Won
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 32.0¢
Jets vs. CanucksLost
Canucks$10 @ 46.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$9 @ 87.0¢
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Won
No$29 @ 64.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Lost
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Lost
Yes$12 @ 14.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$5 @ 34.7¢
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$3 @ 88.2¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
No$105 @ 80.5¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$6 @ 42.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$45 @ 52.4¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
No$55 @ 78.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$5 @ 69.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$4 @ 67.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$30 @ 59.7¢
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?Lost
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$47 @ 78.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.1¢

Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢