0x96e5…1d85

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x96e564fa47c6e9e55dc42f67a3f8d1a6a3a51d85
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.7pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

73% @ 62.7¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

120

Avg size

$216

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	87% (40/46)	+27%	46
Politics	57% (4/7)	-22%	7
Sports	100% (5/5)	+29%	5
Science	100% (2/2)	+16%	2
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+43%	1

Other46 bets
Hit rate
87% (40/46)
ROI
+27%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
-22%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+29%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+16%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+43%

Track record

86% hit · 54/63

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	$134	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15?	No	$110	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 5?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on March 14?	No	$206	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?	No	$53	73.3¢	Won
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$207	79.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$270	54.0¢	Lost
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$633	81.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	$110	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?	No	$368	88.7¢	Won
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	$1.1k	80.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?	Yes	$256	51.2¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$2.1k	82.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage	RUSTEC	$9	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	$82	81.3¢	Won
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?	No	$10	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?	Yes	$35	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 30?	No	$62	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	No	$147	82.7¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$220	44.0¢	Won
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?	No	$34	52.0¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$11	78.0¢	Won
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	$52	11.6¢	Lost
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	Yes	$1.0k	70.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?	Yes	$48	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on March 15?	No	$64	87.5¢	Won
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$265	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11?	No	$250	87.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$3.3k	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 9?	No	$112	89.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$167	51.0¢	Won
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	$289	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$876	85.1¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	73.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$453	49.7¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$820	41.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	$376	67.8¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	No	$86	47.0¢	Won
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	No	$89	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9?	No	$88	87.8¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	70.5¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$10	53.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 13?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$3.6k	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 23?	No	$149	88.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 2?	No	$18	89.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	No	$226	89.9¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$180	40.0¢	Won
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	$101	31.2¢	Lost
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	$42	84.0¢	Won

Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Won
Yes$134 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15?Won
No$110 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 5?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on March 14?Won
No$206 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?Won
No$53 @ 73.3¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$207 @ 79.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$270 @ 54.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$633 @ 81.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?Won
No$110 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?Won
No$368 @ 88.7¢
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Won
Yes$256 @ 51.2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
No$2.1k @ 82.8¢
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageWon
RUSTEC$9 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Won
No$82 @ 81.3¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?Won
Yes$35 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 30?Won
No$62 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?Won
No$147 @ 82.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
No$220 @ 44.0¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? Won
No$34 @ 52.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$11 @ 78.0¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Lost
No$52 @ 11.6¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 70.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Won
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on March 15?Won
No$64 @ 87.5¢
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$265 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11?Won
No$250 @ 87.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$3.3k @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 9?Won
No$112 @ 89.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
Yes$167 @ 51.0¢
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Won
Yes$289 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Won
Yes$876 @ 85.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 73.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$453 @ 49.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$820 @ 41.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Won
No$376 @ 67.8¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$86 @ 47.0¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Won
No$89 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9?Won
No$88 @ 87.8¢
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 70.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
No$10 @ 53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 13?Lost
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$3.6k @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 23?Won
No$149 @ 88.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 2?Won
No$18 @ 89.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?Won
No$226 @ 89.9¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$180 @ 40.0¢
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Lost
No$101 @ 31.2¢
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Won
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	No	$135	89.8¢
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Tech	Yes	$134	70.0¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
No$135 @ 89.8¢
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Tech
Yes$134 @ 70.0¢