0x9631…89a1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x963137a0ba0b02ebf6f37710023cc1b0303289a1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.1pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

87% @ 72.6¢

Brier

0.055

Resolved

769

Avg size

$417

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	87% (20/23)	+22%	23
Politics	67% (2/3)	-43%	3
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+16%	2

Other23 bets
Hit rate
87% (20/23)
ROI
+22%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-43%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+16%

Track record

86% hit · 24/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$70.0k	82.5¢	Won
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	$12	89.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$9.6k	82.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$17.2k	86.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.5k	25.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$28.6k	83.3¢	Won
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	$17	1.7¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.1k	67.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$203	86.1¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$1.9k	88.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$29.6k	86.1¢	Won
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	$895	89.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$6.0k	84.1¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	$772	86.2¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$780	62.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	$2.3k	83.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$65.3k	75.4¢	Won
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	$13	89.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$17.4k	81.1¢	Won
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$4.3k	86.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$17.2k	82.4¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$567	70.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	$19.0k	86.1¢	Won
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1.9k	33.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$10.0k	79.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$2.2k	84.4¢	Won
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	$264	83.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$6.1k	84.9¢	Won

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$70.0k @ 82.5¢
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Won
No$12 @ 89.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$9.6k @ 82.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$4.5k @ 25.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$28.6k @ 83.3¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Lost
No$17 @ 1.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 67.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$203 @ 86.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$1.9k @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$29.6k @ 86.1¢
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
Yes$895 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
No$6.0k @ 84.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Won
No$772 @ 86.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$780 @ 62.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Won
No$2.3k @ 83.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$65.3k @ 75.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Won
No$13 @ 89.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$17.4k @ 81.1¢
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 86.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$17.2k @ 82.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$567 @ 70.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Won
No$19.0k @ 86.1¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 33.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$10.0k @ 79.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Won
No$2.2k @ 84.4¢
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Won
No$264 @ 83.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$6.1k @ 84.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$20.6k	82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	Other	No	$11.9k	94.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Other	No	$6.7k	96.8¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Tech	Up	$453	86.7¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$20.6k @ 82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Other
No$11.9k @ 94.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Other
No$6.7k @ 96.8¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Tech
Up$453 @ 86.7¢