0x9631…89a1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x963137a0ba0b02ebf6f37710023cc1b0303289a1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.3pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

97% @ 77.3¢

Brier

0.055

Resolved

584

Avg size

$459

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	89% (39/44)	+18%	44
Politics	71% (5/7)	-61%	7
Tech	100% (3/3)	+2%	3
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+18%	3

Other44 bets
Hit rate
89% (39/44)
ROI
+18%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
-61%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+18%

Track record

88% hit · 50/57

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	$407	80.9¢	Lost
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$2.0k	98.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	$9.8k	98.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	$2.8k	96.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	$197	98.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	$72	98.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	$3.8k	96.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	No	$1.4k	92.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?	No	$5.9k	96.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?	No	$4.2k	98.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$1.7k	97.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	No	$953	95.3¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$1.5k	95.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?	No	$2.5k	97.2¢	Won
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$222	97.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	No	$307	94.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	No	$5.4k	96.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$20.6k	82.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	$6.7k	96.8¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	$2.6k	76.8¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$8.9k	99.4¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?	Yes	$716	97.8¢	Won
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Up	$453	86.7¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	$14.3k	98.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	No	$11.9k	94.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$3.0k	96.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$20.2k	48.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$70.0k	82.5¢	Won
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	$12	89.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$9.6k	82.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$14.4k	87.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$3.3k	79.3¢	Won
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	$17	1.7¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.1k	67.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$203	86.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$29.6k	86.1¢	Won
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	$895	89.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$780	62.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	$2.3k	83.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$65.3k	75.4¢	Won
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	$13	89.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$17.4k	81.1¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$17.2k	82.4¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$567	70.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	$19.0k	86.1¢	Won
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1.9k	33.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$5.1k	88.6¢	Won
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	$264	83.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$6.1k	84.9¢	Won

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Lost
Yes$407 @ 80.9¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 98.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Won
No$9.8k @ 98.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Won
No$2.8k @ 96.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Won
No$197 @ 98.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Won
No$72 @ 98.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Won
No$3.8k @ 96.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Won
No$1.4k @ 92.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?Won
No$5.9k @ 96.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Won
No$4.2k @ 98.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$1.7k @ 97.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Won
No$953 @ 95.3¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
No$1.5k @ 95.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Won
No$2.5k @ 97.2¢
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$222 @ 97.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Won
No$307 @ 94.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Won
No$5.4k @ 96.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$20.6k @ 82.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Won
No$6.7k @ 96.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Lost
No$2.6k @ 76.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$8.9k @ 99.4¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Won
Yes$716 @ 97.8¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Won
Up$453 @ 86.7¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Won
No$14.3k @ 98.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Won
No$11.9k @ 94.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$3.0k @ 96.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$20.2k @ 48.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$70.0k @ 82.5¢
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Won
No$12 @ 89.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$9.6k @ 82.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$14.4k @ 87.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$3.3k @ 79.3¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Lost
No$17 @ 1.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 67.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$203 @ 86.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$29.6k @ 86.1¢
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
Yes$895 @ 89.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$780 @ 62.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Won
No$2.3k @ 83.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$65.3k @ 75.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Won
No$13 @ 89.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$17.4k @ 81.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$17.2k @ 82.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$567 @ 70.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Won
No$19.0k @ 86.1¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 33.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$5.1k @ 88.6¢
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Won
No$264 @ 83.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$6.1k @ 84.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	No	$18.7k	97.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	—	No	$17.2k	95.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	—	No	$4.6k	96.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	—	No	$4.6k	93.3¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?	—	No	$1.5k	95.2¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
No$18.7k @ 97.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?—
No$17.2k @ 95.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?—
No$4.6k @ 96.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?—
No$4.6k @ 93.3¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?—
No$1.5k @ 95.2¢