0x9631…89a1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x963137a0ba0b02ebf6f37710023cc1b0303289a1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

77% @ 72.8¢

Brier

0.136

Resolved

1344

Avg size

$402

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	89% (94/106)	+19%	106
Politics	89% (16/18)	-22%	18
Tech	100% (6/6)	+3%	6
Sports	17% (1/6)	+2%	6
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+18%	3

Other106 bets
Hit rate
89% (94/106)
ROI
+19%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
89% (16/18)
ROI
-22%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+3%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+18%

Track record

86% hit · 120/139

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	$60	98.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	$1.3k	96.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	$2.4k	96.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	$154	92.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	$1.9k	93.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	$2.0k	97.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	$242	96.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	$3.5k	88.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$235	97.7¢	Won
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	No	$55	83.3¢	Won
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?	Yes	$707	88.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$70.0k	82.5¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$1.4k	77.2¢	Won
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	$12	89.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$2.1k	71.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$666	12.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$9.6k	82.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$10	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?	No	$700	74.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$2.1k	89.4¢	Won
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	$482	48.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	No	$50	59.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$17.2k	86.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$150	86.6¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?	No	$5.7k	81.4¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	No	$581	52.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	Yes	$2.3k	54.1¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.5k	25.5¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2.3k	20.5¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$822	8.8¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$661	13.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$28.6k	83.3¢	Won
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	$17	1.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?	No	$6.9k	79.2¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.1k	67.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$203	86.1¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?	No	$8.1k	86.1¢	Won
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?	No	$376	89.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$12.9k	68.3¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$1.9k	88.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$769	7.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	$3.5k	88.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$29.6k	86.1¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$4.5k	83.2¢	Won
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	$895	89.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$6.0k	84.1¢	Won
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?	Yes	$370	89.3¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Cavaliers	Celtics	$599	88.1¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$661	15.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$17.0k	67.9¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Won
No$60 @ 98.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
No$1.3k @ 96.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Won
No$2.4k @ 96.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Won
No$154 @ 92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Won
No$1.9k @ 93.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Won
No$2.0k @ 97.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Won
No$242 @ 96.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Won
No$3.5k @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
No$235 @ 97.7¢
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Won
No$55 @ 83.3¢
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?Won
Yes$707 @ 88.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$70.0k @ 82.5¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
No$1.4k @ 77.2¢
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Won
No$12 @ 89.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
No$2.1k @ 71.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$666 @ 12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$9.6k @ 82.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
No$700 @ 74.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$2.1k @ 89.4¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Won
No$482 @ 48.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
No$50 @ 59.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Won
No$150 @ 86.6¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Won
No$5.7k @ 81.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Lost
No$581 @ 52.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 54.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$4.5k @ 25.5¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 20.5¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$822 @ 8.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$661 @ 13.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$28.6k @ 83.3¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Lost
No$17 @ 1.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?Won
No$6.9k @ 79.2¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 67.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$203 @ 86.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Won
No$8.1k @ 86.1¢
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?Won
No$376 @ 89.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$12.9k @ 68.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$1.9k @ 88.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$769 @ 7.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Won
No$3.5k @ 88.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$29.6k @ 86.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$4.5k @ 83.2¢
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
Yes$895 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
No$6.0k @ 84.1¢
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?Lost
Yes$370 @ 89.3¢
Celtics vs. CavaliersWon
Celtics$599 @ 88.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$661 @ 15.2¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$17.0k @ 67.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	No	$22.2k	94.5¢
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Politics	No	$4.3k	96.2¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	No	$3.6k	68.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Other	No	$2.9k	96.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Other	No	$2.9k	95.5¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	66.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.0k	86.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	Other	No	$894	93.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Other	No	$762	96.2¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	No	$146	97.4¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
No$22.2k @ 94.5¢
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics
No$4.3k @ 96.2¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
No$3.6k @ 68.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?Other
No$2.9k @ 96.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?Other
No$2.9k @ 95.5¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 66.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?Tech
No$1.0k @ 86.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?Other
No$894 @ 93.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?Other
No$762 @ 96.2¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech
No$146 @ 97.4¢