0x9631…89a1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x963137a0ba0b02ebf6f37710023cc1b0303289a1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.0pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

97% @ 77.9¢

Brier

0.053

Resolved

643

Avg size

$468

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	88% (21/24)	+22%	24
Politics	67% (2/3)	-43%	3
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+16%	2

Other24 bets
Hit rate
88% (21/24)
ROI
+22%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-43%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+16%

Track record

86% hit · 25/29

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$70.0k	82.5¢	Won
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	$12	89.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$9.6k	82.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$17.2k	86.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$28.6k	83.3¢	Won
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	$17	1.7¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.1k	67.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$203	86.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$29.6k	86.1¢	Won
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	$895	89.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$780	62.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	$2.3k	83.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$65.3k	75.4¢	Won
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	$13	89.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$17.4k	81.1¢	Won
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$4.3k	86.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$17.2k	82.4¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$567	70.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	$19.0k	86.1¢	Won
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1.9k	33.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$5.1k	88.6¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$853	81.0¢	Won
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	$264	83.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$6.1k	84.9¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$1.9k	88.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	$772	86.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$3.2k	93.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$6.0k	84.1¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.5k	25.5¢	Lost

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$70.0k @ 82.5¢
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Won
No$12 @ 89.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$9.6k @ 82.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$28.6k @ 83.3¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Lost
No$17 @ 1.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 67.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$203 @ 86.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$29.6k @ 86.1¢
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
Yes$895 @ 89.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$780 @ 62.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Won
No$2.3k @ 83.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$65.3k @ 75.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Won
No$13 @ 89.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$17.4k @ 81.1¢
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 86.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$17.2k @ 82.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$567 @ 70.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Won
No$19.0k @ 86.1¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 33.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$5.1k @ 88.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Won
No$853 @ 81.0¢
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Won
No$264 @ 83.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$6.1k @ 84.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$1.9k @ 88.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Won
No$772 @ 86.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$3.2k @ 93.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
No$6.0k @ 84.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$4.5k @ 25.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	—	No	$20.7k	98.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	—	No	$3.9k	97.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	—	No	$540	97.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	—	No	$197	98.4¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?—
No$20.7k @ 98.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?—
No$3.9k @ 97.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?—
No$540 @ 97.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?—
No$197 @ 98.4¢