0x961f…135c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x961f81e7e60121d81f381925930962c66ecc135c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+14.9pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

48% @ 33.6¢

Brier

0.215

Resolved

Avg size

$72

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (16/36)	+23%	36
Politics	60% (3/5)	-63%	5
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+89%	4
Sports	67% (2/3)	+565%	3

Other36 bets
Hit rate
44% (16/36)
ROI
+23%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-63%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+89%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+565%

Track record

52% hit · 25/48

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$10	38.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)	Yes	$152	64.1¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5	Over	$18	26.5¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$150	89.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	11.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$50	81.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	44.6¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?	No	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$20	67.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$51	20.8¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$30	72.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$10	46.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$12	35.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	No	$12	5.0¢	Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	No	$20	46.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$30	42.0¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$31	46.2¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$195	13.8¢	Won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$20	75.0¢	Won
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$20	36.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$31	57.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$25	38.7¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	No	$30	30.0¢	Won
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	$30	25.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$20	37.0¢	Won
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	$296	7.6¢	Lost
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?	No	$20	3.0¢	Lost
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	$30	45.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$20	64.0¢	Won
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$30	69.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?	Yes	$15	63.0¢	Won
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	Yes	$24	33.0¢	Lost
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$43	15.2¢	Lost
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	No	$20	19.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	$30	49.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$20	81.0¢	Won
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?	Yes	$10	2.3¢	Lost
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	Yes	$37	9.0¢	Lost
Argentina to score first vs. England?	Yes	$10	45.0¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$20	60.0¢	Lost
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	$27	81.3¢	Won
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$10	44.7¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$20	53.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5	Under	$23	49.0¢	Won

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)Won
Yes$152 @ 64.1¢
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Won
Over$18 @ 26.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 89.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 11.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 81.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 44.6¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 0.4¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$20 @ 67.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$51 @ 20.8¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$30 @ 72.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Lost
Yes$12 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$12 @ 5.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Lost
No$20 @ 46.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Won
Yes$30 @ 42.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$31 @ 46.2¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$195 @ 13.8¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$20 @ 75.0¢
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$20 @ 36.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$31 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$25 @ 38.7¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Won
No$30 @ 30.0¢
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Won
Yes$30 @ 25.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 37.0¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Lost
Yes$296 @ 7.6¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Lost
No$20 @ 3.0¢
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Lost
No$30 @ 45.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Won
Yes$20 @ 64.0¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$30 @ 69.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 63.0¢
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Lost
Yes$24 @ 33.0¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Lost
Yes$43 @ 15.2¢
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Lost
No$20 @ 19.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Won
No$30 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Won
Yes$20 @ 81.0¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.3¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$37 @ 9.0¢
Argentina to score first vs. England?Lost
Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$20 @ 60.0¢
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Won
No$27 @ 81.3¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$10 @ 44.7¢
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$20 @ 53.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Won
Under$23 @ 49.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$235	15.4¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$57	35.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$40	33.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$31	34.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$25	36.9¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$20	57.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Politics	Yes	$13	32.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	75.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$10	37.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$3	7.6¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
Yes$235 @ 15.4¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$57 @ 35.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
No$40 @ 33.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$31 @ 34.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$25 @ 36.9¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$20 @ 57.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
Yes$13 @ 32.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 75.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$10 @ 37.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$3 @ 7.6¢