0x9599…37fb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x95992aa7416b3e1eb43f57aec5e4803ee9e837fb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.1pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

73% @ 54.1¢

Brier

0.143

Resolved

Avg size

$81

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (7/15)	+42%	15
Politics	67% (2/3)	-8%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other15 bets
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
ROI
+42%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-8%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 9/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Raptors vs. Knicks	Knicks	$1.0k	70.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$8	77.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$75	58.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	$1.0k	61.0¢	Won
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$12	60.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$16	79.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	$14	67.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$15	72.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	No	$12	23.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$16	78.5¢	Won
Nets vs. Bucks	Bucks	$1.1k	81.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$14	0.1¢	Lost
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$8	82.0¢	Won

Raptors vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$1.0k @ 70.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$8 @ 77.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$75 @ 58.0¢
Pacers vs. NetsWon
Pacers$1.0k @ 61.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$16 @ 79.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Won
Yes$14 @ 67.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$15 @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Won
No$12 @ 23.0¢
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
No$16 @ 78.5¢
Nets vs. BucksWon
Bucks$1.1k @ 81.0¢
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.1¢
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$8 @ 82.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$17	85.0¢
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Politics	No	$15	75.0¢
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$11	57.0¢

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$17 @ 85.0¢
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Politics
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$11 @ 57.0¢