0x94eb…37e6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x94eb0ee9ff35f5b14f8d3c3be3967e9deba837e6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

78% @ 72.5¢

Brier

0.137

Resolved

1120

Avg size

$344

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (149/214)	+8%	214
Politics	89% (68/76)	+2%	76
Geopolitics	94% (16/17)	+2%	17
Tech	100% (1/1)	+3%	1

Other214 bets
Hit rate
70% (149/214)
ROI
+8%
Politics76 bets
Hit rate
89% (68/76)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
94% (16/17)
ROI
+2%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+3%

Track record

76% hit · 234/308

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	$3.3k	97.6¢	Won
Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$87	21.4¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	$1.2k	80.2¢	Won
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.1k	97.8¢	Won
Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$144	92.4¢	Won
Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$204	96.9¢	Won
Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$774	89.0¢	Won
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$13	11.9¢	Won
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$39	97.0¢	Won
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$24	80.9¢	Lost
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$378	99.7¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$3.0k	96.3¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	$835	97.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$4.9k	98.1¢	Won
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	99.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	$4.7k	94.7¢	Won
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$864	98.9¢	Won
Bulls vs. Pacers	Pacers	$365	73.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?	No	$35	78.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?	Yes	$31	87.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64–65°F on May 14?	No	$15	75.0¢	Lost
Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?	Yes	$657	73.0¢	Won
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?	No	$49	82.0¢	Won
Clippers vs. Pistons	Pistons	$315	63.0¢	Won
Hawks vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$255	51.0¢	Lost
Will FCSB win on 2025-02-20?	Yes	$310	62.0¢	Won
Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?	Yes	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on May 9?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus end in a draw?	Yes	$180	36.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	$101	3.4¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Nuggets	Lakers	$295	59.0¢	Won
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?	No	$2.1k	58.2¢	Won
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?	Yes	$3.0k	58.9¢	Lost
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26?	Yes	$355	71.0¢	Lost
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?	No	$300	60.0¢	Won
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$9.3k	87.2¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Pacers	Pacers	$445	89.0¢	Won
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?	No	$254	50.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?	No	$385	77.0¢	Won
Will Brentford vs. Everton end in a draw?	No	$23	79.0¢	Lost
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?	No	$272	81.0¢	Won
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-02-20?	Yes	$240	48.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Raptors	Raptors	$94	75.6¢	Won
76ers vs. Heat	Heat	$445	89.0¢	Won
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?	No	$395	79.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$10.0k	83.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$10.0k	89.0¢	Won
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-22?	No	$425	85.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves	Thunder	$437	88.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	$185	37.0¢	Lost

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 97.6¢
Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$87 @ 21.4¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Won
No$1.2k @ 80.2¢
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 97.8¢
Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
No$144 @ 92.4¢
Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
No$204 @ 96.9¢
Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
No$774 @ 89.0¢
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$13 @ 11.9¢
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
No$39 @ 97.0¢
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
No$24 @ 80.9¢
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$378 @ 99.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 96.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Won
No$835 @ 97.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
No$4.9k @ 98.1¢
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Won
No$2.3k @ 99.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Won
Yes$4.7k @ 94.7¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
Yes$864 @ 98.9¢
Bulls vs. PacersWon
Pacers$365 @ 73.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?Won
No$35 @ 78.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?Lost
Yes$31 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64–65°F on May 14?Lost
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?Won
Yes$657 @ 73.0¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?Won
No$49 @ 82.0¢
Clippers vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$315 @ 63.0¢
Hawks vs. GrizzliesLost
Grizzlies$255 @ 51.0¢
Will FCSB win on 2025-02-20?Won
Yes$310 @ 62.0¢
Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?Won
Yes$8 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on May 9?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus end in a draw?Lost
Yes$180 @ 36.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Lost
No$101 @ 3.4¢
Lakers vs. NuggetsWon
Lakers$295 @ 59.0¢
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Won
No$2.1k @ 58.2¢
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 58.9¢
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26?Lost
Yes$355 @ 71.0¢
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?Won
No$300 @ 60.0¢
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
Yes$9.3k @ 87.2¢
Grizzlies vs. PacersWon
Pacers$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?Won
No$254 @ 50.0¢
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?Won
No$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Brentford vs. Everton end in a draw?Lost
No$23 @ 79.0¢
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?Won
No$272 @ 81.0¢
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-02-20?Lost
Yes$240 @ 48.0¢
Suns vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$94 @ 75.6¢
76ers vs. HeatWon
Heat$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?Won
No$395 @ 79.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$10.0k @ 83.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$10.0k @ 89.0¢
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-22?Won
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Thunder vs. TimberwolvesWon
Thunder$437 @ 88.0¢
Thunder vs. TimberwolvesLost
Timberwolves$185 @ 37.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	Yes	$9.5k	95.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Politics	Yes	$9.0k	96.2¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
Yes$9.5k @ 95.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Politics
Yes$9.0k @ 96.2¢