← Smart money
0x94eb…37e6
ProfitableSniperEdge
+13.4pp
ROI
+51%
Win rate
85% @ 71.4¢
Brier
0.167
Resolved
99
Avg size
$437
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 78% (7/9) | +51% | 9 |
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +51%
Track record
78% hit · 7/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $10.0k | 83.0¢ | Won |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | $3.5k | 89.0¢ | Won |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | $5.6k | 28.3¢ | Won |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | $12.5k | 83.2¢ | Won |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | $1 | 62.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $10.0k | 83.2¢ | Won |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $28 | 85.0¢ | Won |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | $1.6k | 68.8¢ | Won |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | $45 | 88.5¢ | Lost |
- No$10.0k @ 83.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 28.3¢
- No$12.5k @ 83.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 83.2¢
- Yes$28 @ 85.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 68.8¢
- Yes$45 @ 88.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $19.9k | 99.3¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $10.0k | 99.9¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $10.0k | 99.6¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | — | No | $9.9k | 99.2¢ |
- No$19.9k @ 99.3¢
- No$10.0k @ 99.9¢
- No$10.0k @ 99.6¢
- No$9.9k @ 99.2¢