← Smart money
0x9411…63c7
SharpEdge
+21.4pp
ROI
+36%
Win rate
73% @ 51.4¢
Brier
0.182
Resolved
191
Avg size
$1.1k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (13/26) | +31% | 26 |
| Tech | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +224% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other26 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (13/26)
- ROI
- +31%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +224%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
41% hit · 14/34- No$532 @ 18.5¢
- No$5.1k @ 28.7¢
- No$7.6k @ 43.3¢
- No$56.9k @ 50.7¢
- No$6.4k @ 20.5¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 78.6¢
- No$1.2k @ 58.0¢
- No$8.6k @ 42.8¢
- No$2.5k @ 24.7¢
- Yes$11.4k @ 56.9¢
- Yes$135 @ 1.2¢
- No$239 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 30.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 20.9¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 35.0¢
- No$1 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$17.7k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 25.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$28.0k @ 48.8¢
- No$15.1k @ 58.3¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 53.4¢
- Yes$9.2k @ 30.8¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 47.9¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$8.6k @ 57.1¢
- Yes$23.0k @ 66.8¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 49.9¢
- No$5.6k @ 55.7¢
- No$2.3k @ 7.8¢
- No$2.6k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$22.8k @ 65.1¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 14.5¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 57.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | Tech | No | $56.9k | 50.7¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | — | No | $9.7k | 61.0¢ |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026? | Tech | No | $7.6k | 43.3¢ |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $6.4k | 20.5¢ |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | — | Yes | $5.8k | 29.0¢ |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | — | Yes | $5.7k | 57.0¢ |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? | Tech | No | $5.1k | 28.7¢ |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Business | No | $2.6k | 52.0¢ |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | — | Yes | $2.4k | 47.9¢ |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027? | Tech | No | $532 | 18.5¢ |
| Will Infinex launch a token by February 28, 2026? | — | No | $1 | 3.9¢ |
- No$56.9k @ 50.7¢
- No$9.7k @ 61.0¢
- No$7.6k @ 43.3¢
- No$6.4k @ 20.5¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 29.0¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 57.0¢
- No$5.1k @ 28.7¢
- No$2.6k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 47.9¢
- No$532 @ 18.5¢
- No$1 @ 3.9¢