← Smart money
0x93f2…a879
SharpEdge
+15.3pp
ROI
+33%
Win rate
71% @ 55.7¢
Brier
0.162
Resolved
217
Avg size
$223
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (10/21) | +35% | 21 |
| Sports | 14% (1/7) | +27% | 7 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | -24% | 4 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (10/21)
- ROI
- +35%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- +27%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -24%
Track record
41% hit · 13/32- Yes$488 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$301 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$75 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$400 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$536 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 6.5¢
- No$5.4k @ 37.5¢
- Yes$69 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$216 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$11.3k @ 68.3¢
- Yes$13.5k @ 57.6¢
- No$882 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$286 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$23 @ 32.4¢
- Steve Garcia$134 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$248 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 85.4¢
- Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 45.5¢
- Yes$108 @ 36.0¢
- No$50 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$767 @ 42.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
- No$193 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- No$255 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 58.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $2.0k | 97.7¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | Politics | Yes | $845 | 96.9¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Politics | Yes | $574 | 95.6¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Politics | Yes | $462 | 92.4¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $60 | 20.1¢ |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 13.2¢ |
- No$2.0k @ 97.7¢
- Yes$845 @ 96.9¢
- Yes$574 @ 95.6¢
- Yes$462 @ 92.4¢
- Yes$60 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 13.2¢