0x9351…9e4d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics27 bets

  Hit rate

  93% (25/27)

  ROI

  +13%

• Geopolitics14 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (14/14)

  ROI

  +6%

• Tech12 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (12/12)

  ROI

  +2%

• Economy3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +2%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +1%

• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Won
  No$1.5k @ 99.4¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Won
  No$46.0k @ 99.3¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Won
  No$477 @ 99.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
  No$340.1k @ 60.7¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Won
  Yes$98 @ 88.4¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$39.1k @ 77.5¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$191.7k @ 87.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$56.2k @ 79.7¢
• Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$58.6k @ 97.6¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$59.5k @ 99.1¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$57.0k @ 95.0¢
• Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$16.2k @ 96.9¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Won
  No$6.6k @ 98.5¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Won
  No$51.4k @ 98.3¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$58.8k @ 98.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
  No$13.7k @ 98.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$36 @ 98.5¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$58.0k @ 96.6¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
  No$52.1k @ 98.0¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Won
  No$46.3k @ 97.3¢
• Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?Won
  No$42.5k @ 97.9¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$3.0k @ 97.9¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$15.6k @ 98.2¢
• Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Won
  No$3.0k @ 97.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
  Yes$25.7k @ 97.9¢
• Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?Won
  No$8.9k @ 98.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Won
  Yes$58.8k @ 98.0¢
• Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Won
  No$59.3k @ 98.9¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$58.8k @ 98.0¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Won
  No$287 @ 98.1¢
• Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Won
  Yes$6.2k @ 98.9¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$58.5k @ 97.5¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$10.8k @ 98.8¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$4.7k @ 98.7¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$16.7k @ 98.5¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$1.2k @ 99.2¢
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 99.6¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$12.8k @ 98.4¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?Won
  No$55 @ 98.2¢
• Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Won
  Yes$5.4k @ 99.1¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Won
  Yes$4.6k @ 98.9¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$72 @ 99.3¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Won
  Yes$13.2k @ 99.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$38.1k @ 98.2¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$57.0k @ 95.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Won
  No$14.2k @ 99.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
  No$59.6k @ 99.3¢
• Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$529 @ 99.2¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$56.8k @ 94.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Won
  No$57.9k @ 96.5¢

Current positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$49.0k @ 98.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$2.8k @ 98.2¢