0x934f…5bd8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x934fea4ec2e12f242c14be6779d9510440735bd8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.2pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

52% @ 48.2¢

Brier

0.213

Resolved

2823

Avg size

$24

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (873/1713)	+12%	1713
Politics	44% (4/9)	+27%	9
Sports	100% (2/2)	+24%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other1713 bets
Hit rate
51% (873/1713)
ROI
+12%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
+27%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+24%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

51% hit · 880/1725

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	$3	28.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	$5	33.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$200	68.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$18	32.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	$34	82.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	$59	72.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	$6	26.6¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	No	$70	77.8¢	Won
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?	No	$146	39.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)	Astralis	$13	40.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)	NIP	$131	36.0¢	Won
Punjab Kings vs. Lucknow Super Giants	Punjab Kings	$6	73.0¢	Won
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$44	32.6¢	Won
Bulls vs. Pacers	Pacers	$50	55.0¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Oilers	Golden Knights	$12	60.0¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Oilers	Oilers	$25	30.8¢	Lost
Will Northampton Saints win?	No	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?	No	$53	38.0¢	Won
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	No	$176	62.9¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Mitchell	$12	50.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Nurmagomedov	$65	51.3¢	Lost
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. Donchenko	Sezinando	$34	38.0¢	Lost
Cardinals vs. Phillies	Phillies	$5	58.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks	Trail Blazers	$8	33.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$8	34.0¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?	No	$25	30.2¢	Lost
Sabatini vs. Brito	Sabatini	$4	70.0¢	Won
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-12-21?	No	$6	34.0¢	Won
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?	No	$26	45.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?	No	$7	51.0¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$42	22.0¢	Lost
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX	BNK FEARX	$9	58.0¢	Won
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX	DRX	$16	24.0¢	Lost
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?	No	$27	66.3¢	Lost
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$30	60.0¢	Won
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?	No	$14	75.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Bucks	Bucks	$63	61.8¢	Lost
Will CF América win on 2025-11-29?	No	$18	29.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Lakers	Lakers	$17	66.0¢	Lost
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	$39	44.5¢	Won
Independiente Medellín vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score	No	$44	41.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Hawks	Hawks	$26	45.0¢	Won
Tulane vs. Temple	Tulane	$7	48.0¢	Won
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	No	$97	36.6¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Pacers	Pacers	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5	Under	$50	52.0¢	Won
Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	64.0¢	Won

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 28.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 33.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$200 @ 68.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 27.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$18 @ 32.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Won
No$34 @ 82.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Won
No$59 @ 72.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 26.6¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Won
No$70 @ 77.8¢
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Won
No$146 @ 39.0¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)Lost
Astralis$13 @ 40.1¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)Won
NIP$131 @ 36.0¢
Punjab Kings vs. Lucknow Super GiantsWon
Punjab Kings$6 @ 73.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$44 @ 32.6¢
Bulls vs. PacersWon
Pacers$50 @ 55.0¢
Golden Knights vs. OilersWon
Golden Knights$12 @ 60.0¢
Golden Knights vs. OilersLost
Oilers$25 @ 30.8¢
Will Northampton Saints win?Lost
No$4 @ 8.0¢
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Won
No$53 @ 38.0¢
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Won
No$176 @ 62.9¢
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovWon
Mitchell$12 @ 50.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovLost
Nurmagomedov$65 @ 51.3¢
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoLost
Sezinando$34 @ 38.0¢
Cardinals vs. PhilliesWon
Phillies$5 @ 58.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. KnicksLost
Trail Blazers$8 @ 33.0¢
Nuggets vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$8 @ 34.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?Lost
No$25 @ 30.2¢
Sabatini vs. BritoWon
Sabatini$4 @ 70.0¢
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-12-21?Won
No$6 @ 34.0¢
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?Lost
No$26 @ 45.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?Lost
No$7 @ 51.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$42 @ 22.0¢
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXWon
BNK FEARX$9 @ 58.0¢
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXLost
DRX$16 @ 24.0¢
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?Lost
No$27 @ 66.3¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
No$30 @ 60.0¢
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?Won
No$14 @ 75.0¢
Suns vs. LakersLost
Lakers$4 @ 35.0¢
Kings vs. BucksLost
Bucks$63 @ 61.8¢
Will CF América win on 2025-11-29?Lost
No$18 @ 29.0¢
Mavericks vs. LakersLost
Lakers$17 @ 66.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. PanathinaikosWon
Panathinaikos$39 @ 44.5¢
Independiente Medellín vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$44 @ 41.0¢
Magic vs. HawksWon
Hawks$26 @ 45.0¢
Tulane vs. TempleWon
Tulane$7 @ 48.0¢
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Lost
No$97 @ 36.6¢
Raptors vs. PacersLost
Pacers$1 @ 20.0¢
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Won
Under$50 @ 52.0¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$20 @ 64.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	No	$319	32.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$161	72.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$83	37.2¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$22	66.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$14	74.0¢

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
No$319 @ 32.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$161 @ 72.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$83 @ 37.2¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$22 @ 66.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 74.0¢