0x933c…a8c6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x933ca00f565ba7130180e58fce4f965cc33ba8c6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.7pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

40% @ 36.4¢

Brier

0.175

Resolved

2357

Avg size

$22

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (244/533)	+20%	533
Sports	38% (48/126)	+20%	126
Business	39% (7/18)	+6%	18
Politics	38% (3/8)	-29%	8
Tech	20% (1/5)	+62%	5
Geopolitics	40% (2/5)	-23%	5
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+82%	1

Other533 bets
Hit rate
46% (244/533)
ROI
+20%
Sports126 bets
Hit rate
38% (48/126)
ROI
+20%
Business18 bets
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
ROI
+6%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
-29%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+62%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-23%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+82%

Track record

44% hit · 306/696

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of April 13 2026?	No	$60	52.0¢	Lost
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on April 2?	No	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?	No	$11	63.0¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?	No	$22	56.8¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?	Yes	$43	50.6¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?	Yes	$36	12.0¢	Lost
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?	No	$174	16.1¢	Lost
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$204	85.3¢	Won
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	$128	83.9¢	Won
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	$17	9.6¢	Lost
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$53	86.0¢	Won
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$68	32.9¢	Won
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	$116	31.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$42	26.8¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	$12	15.0¢	Lost
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of April 13 2026?	No	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	$9	50.0¢	Won
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of April 6 2026?	No	$38	75.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	$124	67.0¢	Won
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Gonçalo Ramos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$36	29.7¢	Lost
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$128	7.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?	No	$18	15.1¢	Lost
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	$68	45.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2.4k	84.8¢	Won
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$46	82.0¢	Won
Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 5?	No	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	10.6¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?	No	$177	52.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?	Yes	$20	35.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$88	26.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$29	89.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$652	45.5¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	$38	53.0¢	Lost
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	$91	58.9¢	Won
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of May 11 2026?	No	$68	39.2¢	Lost
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$317	50.5¢	Won
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	No	$233	43.5¢	Lost
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$9	47.0¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	21.9¢	Lost
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$9	18.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$417	85.7¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$31	50.1¢	Won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$39	12.1¢	Lost
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	$776	80.7¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$43	66.0¢	Won

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
No$60 @ 52.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on April 2?Lost
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?Won
No$11 @ 63.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?Lost
No$22 @ 56.8¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?Won
Yes$43 @ 50.6¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?Lost
Yes$36 @ 12.0¢
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Lost
No$174 @ 16.1¢
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Won
Yes$204 @ 85.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$4 @ 20.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Won
Yes$128 @ 83.9¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?Lost
No$17 @ 9.6¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?Won
Yes$53 @ 86.0¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$68 @ 32.9¢
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Lost
No$116 @ 31.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$42 @ 26.8¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 15.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of April 13 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 50.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of April 6 2026?Lost
No$38 @ 75.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?Won
Yes$124 @ 67.0¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Gonçalo Ramos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$36 @ 29.7¢
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$128 @ 7.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?Lost
No$18 @ 15.1¢
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of May 11 2026?Lost
No$68 @ 45.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$2.4k @ 84.8¢
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$46 @ 82.0¢
Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 5?Lost
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$14 @ 10.6¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?Won
No$177 @ 52.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?Lost
Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$88 @ 26.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$29 @ 89.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$652 @ 45.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Lost
No$38 @ 53.0¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 13 2026?Won
Yes$91 @ 58.9¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of May 11 2026?Lost
No$68 @ 39.2¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$317 @ 50.5¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Lost
No$233 @ 43.5¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Won
Yes$9 @ 47.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 21.9¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$9 @ 18.0¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$417 @ 85.7¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
Lakers$31 @ 50.1¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$39 @ 12.1¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
No$776 @ 80.7¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$43 @ 66.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Sports	No	$432	98.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Tech	No	$300	99.9¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	Business	Yes	$243	61.2¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$241	96.5¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	No	$241	96.4¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	No	$233	91.9¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$151	21.9¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Politics	No	$149	32.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?	Business	Yes	$143	32.7¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$137	41.4¢
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Sports	No	$135	90.0¢
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Tech	No	$131	43.8¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Sports	Yes	$123	55.1¢
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?	Sports	No	$117	98.8¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in September?	Business	No	$110	98.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Other	Yes	$99	40.8¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$96	96.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$95	91.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Sports	No	$86	21.4¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Crypto	No	$84	65.6¢
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$83	99.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$82	82.2¢
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?	Sports	Yes	$81	44.5¢
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$80	99.7¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$78	26.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?	Sports	Yes	$75	25.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	Business	Yes	$74	37.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$74	74.0¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?	Sports	No	$70	58.5¢
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Sports	No	$70	70.0¢

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Sports
No$432 @ 98.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech
No$300 @ 99.9¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?Business
Yes$243 @ 61.2¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
No$241 @ 96.5¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
No$241 @ 96.4¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
No$233 @ 91.9¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto
Yes$151 @ 21.9¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Politics
No$149 @ 32.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?Business
Yes$143 @ 32.7¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$137 @ 41.4¢
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Sports
No$135 @ 90.0¢
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech
No$131 @ 43.8¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Sports
Yes$123 @ 55.1¢
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?Sports
No$117 @ 98.8¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in September?Business
No$110 @ 98.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Other
Yes$99 @ 40.8¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$96 @ 96.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$95 @ 91.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Sports
No$86 @ 21.4¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto
No$84 @ 65.6¢
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Sports
No$83 @ 99.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$82 @ 82.2¢
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?Sports
Yes$81 @ 44.5¢
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Sports
No$80 @ 99.7¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$78 @ 26.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?Sports
Yes$75 @ 25.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?Business
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?Sports
No$70 @ 58.5¢
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Sports
No$70 @ 70.0¢